Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Trail Blazers (31-36) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans (32-35)
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Sunday, March 12, 2023 at 7:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSNO & ROOT Sports NW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in New Orleans.

The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 34-33 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 30-36 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers-3.5 -105O 228.5 -110-150
New Orleans Pelicans +3.5 -115U 228.5 -110+125

Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Sunday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.

Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Trail Blazers and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 40 of their last 84 games (+14.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+10.61 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games (+10.38 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 59 games (+23.09 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 27 games (+18.66 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 34-33 (-2.3 Units / -3.12% ROI).

  • 31-36 against the Moneyline (-1.05 Units / -1.04% ROI)
  • 32-34 against the Over for game total points (-5.4 Units / -7.33% ROI)
  • 34-32 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -1.63% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 30-36 (-9.6 Units / -13.03% ROI).

  • 32-35 against the Moneyline (-11.15 Units / -10.22% ROI)
  • 33-34 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.97% ROI)
  • 34-33 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 61 games (-31.18 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 88 games (-22.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 58 games (-20.82 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 35 games (-18.60 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 84 games (-25.46 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.71 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 84 games (-21.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.31 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.14 Units / -21% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Portland Trail Blazers are 25-53 (.321) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (1,657 turnovers/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-lowest among NBA teams.

The Portland Trail Blazers are 12-19 (.387) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (733 turnovers/59 games) this season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Trail Blazers are 9-23 (.273) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

The Trail Blazers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The New Orleans Pelicans are 7-30 (.189) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 15.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among NBA teams.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 4-19 (.174) when losing the rebounding margin this season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 44.6 rebounds per game (2,676 rebounds/60 games) this season — ninth-highest among NBA teams.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 10-40 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for fifth-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (6,406 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Pelicans are 7-30 (.189) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. Trail BlazersSunday‘s Game, Mar. 12

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): Liddell is doing some light shooting and is making progress from a torn right ACL, according to Cody Taylor of The USA Today. He’s expected to miss most of the season.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram did not play in Saturday’s game (Mar. 11) against the Thunder.
  • Larry Nance Jr. (Pelicans): Nance Jr. will be re-evaluated in two weeks, according to Chris Mannix of Sports Illustrated.
  • Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will miss at least two more weeks.
  • Jose Alvarado (Pelicans): Alvarado will be re-evaluated in three weeks after being diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right tibia, per Rotowire.
  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): Winslow has not played since Dec. 21. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
  • Ibou Badji (Trail Blazers): The Trail Blazers announced that Badji will have surgery on his left knee and is expected to miss eight weeks.
  • Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): Lillard is probable for Sunday’s (Mar. 12) game against New Orleans.
  • Ryan Arcidiacono (Trail Blazers): Arcidiacono is questionable for Sunday’s (Mar. 12) game against New Orleans.

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,551 assists/ 977 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 106.3 points per game (7,549 points/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.0

The Trail Blazers have made 12.9 three-pointers per game this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,420 assists/ 817 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 14.9 fast break points per game (895 points/60 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,688 free throw attempts/9,484 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Pelicans have averaged 14.8 second chance points per game (887 points/60 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Pelicans have averaged 25.4 points in the paint per game (5,436 points/214 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.2

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.4 steals per game (376 steals/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,524 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Trail Blazers have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,863 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (254 blocks/59 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (886 blocks/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pelicans have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (430 blocks/107 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 8.6 steals per game (513 steals/60 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/60 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.