Trail Blazers vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 06, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Trail Blazers (30-34) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pistons (15-49)
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Monday, March 6, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSDET & ROOT Sports NW

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Trail Blazers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Trail Blazers vs Pistons Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 32-32 against the spread, while the Pistons are 28-33 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers-5.5 -110O 229.5 -110-225
Detroit Pistons +5.5 -110U 229.5 -110+185

Pistons vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Monday‘s game with 66.2% confidence.

Pistons vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Trail Blazers and Pistons, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 81 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+11.73 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+9.67 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 75 games (+21.27 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+16.21 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 82 games (+15.26 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 2Q Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+12.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 32-32 (-3.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 30-34 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -0.05% ROI)
  • 31-32 against the Over for game total points (-4.2 Units / -5.97% ROI)
  • 32-31 against the Under for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.98% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 28-33 (-8.35 Units / -11.86% ROI).

  • 15-49 against the Moneyline (-17.1 Units / -25.39% ROI)
  • 33-31 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -1.56% ROI)
  • 31-33 against the Under for game total points (-5.3 Units / -7.53% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 81 games (-32.08 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-24.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 81 games (-23.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 82 games (-22.34 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 78 games (-20.90 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 30 of their last 83 games (-23.96 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.58 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.21 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.92 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 81 games (-17.78 Units / -20% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Portland Trail Blazers are 25-53 (.321) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — sixth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (1,657 turnovers/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — third-lowest among NBA teams.

The Portland Trail Blazers are 12-19 (.387) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for ninth-worst among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 12.4 turnovers per game (733 turnovers/59 games) this season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Trail Blazers are 9-23 (.273) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

The Trail Blazers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Pistons are 4-32 (.111) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Pistons are 11-60 (.155) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Pistons are 23-82 (.219) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Pistons are 2-37 (.051) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .326

Injury Report: Pistons vs. Trail BlazersMonday‘s Game, Mar. 6

  • James Wiseman (Pistons): Wiseman is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against Portland.
  • Isaiah Stewart (Pistons): Stewart hasn’t played since Feb. 25 against Toronto and there remains no timetable for his return.
  • Killian Hayes (Pistons): Hayes is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against Portland.
  • Jalen Duren (Pistons): Duren hasn’t played since Feb. 23 against Orlando and there remains no timetable for his return.
  • Cade Cunningham (Pistons): Cunningham had season-ending surgery on his shin. He plans on on being ready for next season, according to James Edwards III of The Athletic.
  • Rodney McGruder (Pistons): McGruder is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against Portland.
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Pistons): Bogdanovic is out for Monday’s (Mar. 6) game against Portland.
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Trail Blazers): Nurkic is expected to return after the All-Star break, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers): Simons did not play in Sunday’s (Mar. 5) game against Orlando.
  • Justise Winslow (Trail Blazers): Winslow has not played since Dec. 21. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
  • Ibou Badji (Trail Blazers): Badji has yet to appear in a game this season and a timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Ryan Arcidiacono (Trail Blazers): Arcidiacono hasn’t played since Feb. 23 against Sacramento and remains without a timetable to return.

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,551 assists/ 977 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 106.3 points per game (7,549 points/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.0

The Trail Blazers have made 12.9 three-pointers per game this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,420 assists/ 817 TOs) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons are shooting 44% (2,817/6,341) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (717 assists/ 477 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons have an eFG% of 51% at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pistons have a TS% of 48% in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 6.4 steals per game (376 steals/59 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,524 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7

The Trail Blazers have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,863 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (254 blocks/59 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,972 rebounds/217 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Pistons have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,615 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.6

The Pistons have averaged 31.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,990 rebounds/63 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Pistons have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (237 blocks/63 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.