Trail Blazers vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 22

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 23, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Rockets are -12.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on KATU | SCHN

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Trail Blazers vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 9-5 against the spread, while the Rockets are 11-5 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Rockets.

Rockets vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 61.9% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 73 games (+19.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 45 games (+19.20 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+8.89 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 39 away games (+8.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 42 games (+18.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 41 games (+16.48 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.34 Units / 24% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 21.28% ROI).

  • 6-9 against the Moneyline (+5.25 Units / 34.54% ROI)
  • 6-8 against the Over for game total points (-2.8 Units / -16.97% ROI)
  • 8-6 against the Under for game total points (+1.4 Units / 8.48% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 11-5 (+5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI).

  • 11-5 against the Moneyline (+3.85 Units / 11.94% ROI)
  • 7-8 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -10.23% ROI)
  • 8-7 against the Under for game total points (+0.3 Units / 1.7% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 38 games at home (-16.60 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 86 games (-15.02 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-14.25 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 84 games (-14.05 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 42 games at home (-13.90 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 83 games (-31.15 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-26.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 77 games (-18.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 away games (-18.15 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 49 games (-17.00 Units / -34% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Trail Blazers are 2-22 (.083) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .316

The Trail Blazers are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are 2-5 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 60.4 rebounds/game this season — highest in the NBA.

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Rockets are undefeated (13-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .896

The Rockets are winless (0-15) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .150

The Rockets are 2-21 (.087) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Rockets are 12-37 (.245) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .341

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 51% in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (3,812/8,702) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,217 assists/ 1,510 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 1.05 points per shot (194 points/184 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33

The Rockets have averaged 19.6 offensive rebounds per game (3,519 rebounds/180 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.4

The Rockets have averaged 22.4 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/16 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Rockets have a TS% of 49% since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,155 rebounds/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (487 rebounds/15 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,893 rebounds/179 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets have 143 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams

The Rockets have averaged 8.9 steals per game (143 steals/16 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Rockets have averaged 8.0 steals per game (782 steals/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.