Trail Blazers vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 21

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  • The Spurs are -11.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBC | PEAC

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Trail Blazers vs Spurs Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 45-39 against the spread, while the Spurs are 48-35 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+11.5 -115O 220.5 -110+500
San Antonio Spurs -11.5 -105U 220.5 -110-700

Spurs vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Spurs.

Spurs vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 67.9% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 25 games (+18.60 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 25 games (+16.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 2Q Spread in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 35 games (+23.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+13.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+12.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 45-39 (+2.1 Units / 2.27% ROI).

  • 43-41 against the Moneyline (+3.45 Units / 1.8% ROI)
  • 43-41 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -2.27% ROI)
  • 41-43 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -6.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 48-35 (+9.5 Units / 10.41% ROI).

  • 63-20 against the Moneyline (+33.2 Units / 10.31% ROI)
  • 35-47 against the Over for game total points (-16.7 Units / -18.29% ROI)
  • 47-35 against the Under for game total points (+8.5 Units / 9.31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.89 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games (-11.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 30 games (-11.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 25 games (-22.10 Units / -77% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 25 games (-20.08 Units / -70% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.25 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 24 games (-15.30 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.35 Units / -25% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Trail Blazers are 5-24 (.172) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Trail Blazers are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Trail Blazers are 3-36 (.077) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .228

The Trail Blazers are 2-44 (.043) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .095

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 33-10 (.767) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Spurs are 44-9 (.830) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Spurs are 55-19 (.743) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (723 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,812 assists/ 2,012 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (961 assists/ 723 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,876 assists/ 1,989 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have averaged 15.5 second chance points per game (1,270 points/82 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Spurs have a TS% of 52% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs have averaged 1.34 points per shot (5,102 points/3,804 shots) in the first half this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,235 rebounds/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (881 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Trail Blazers have blocked 448 shots this season — tied for 6th most among NBA teams

The Trail Blazers have blocked 881 shots since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th most among NBA teams

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (1,421 blocks/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have blocked 1,421 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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