Trail Blazers vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 28

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  • The Spurs are -12.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Trail Blazers vs Spurs Over/Under is 216.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 46-41 against the spread, while the Spurs are 50-36 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers+12.5 -115O 216.5 -110+475
San Antonio Spurs -12.5 -105U 216.5 -110-650

Spurs vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Spurs.

Spurs vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 30 games (+21.50 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games (+17.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+16.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 away games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 40 games (+19.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games (+11.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+10.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 46-41 (+0.9 Units / 0.94% ROI).

  • 44-43 against the Moneyline (+6.05 Units / 3.11% ROI)
  • 44-43 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -3.45% ROI)
  • 43-44 against the Under for game total points (-5.4 Units / -5.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 50-36 (+10.4 Units / 10.99% ROI).

  • 65-21 against the Moneyline (+29.4 Units / 8.88% ROI)
  • 36-49 against the Over for game total points (-17.9 Units / -18.92% ROI)
  • 49-36 against the Under for game total points (+9.4 Units / 9.94% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.89 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-11.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 40 games (-11.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 30 games (-25.70 Units / -75% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 30 games (-21.46 Units / -62% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 away games (-15.40 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 20 games (-14.45 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.30 Units / -25% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Trail Blazers are 4-15 (.211) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .416

The Trail Blazers are undefeated (15-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Trail Blazers are 4-21 (.160) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .213

The Trail Blazers are 5-24 (.172) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

The Spurs are 33-10 (.767) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Spurs are 55-19 (.743) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Spurs are 48-18 (.727) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .503

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (723 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 17.3 turnovers per game (1,417 turnovers/82 games) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Trail Blazers have averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (3,975 turnovers/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (961 assists/ 723 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have a TS% of 52% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs have averaged 62.2 points per game (5,102 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.2

The Spurs have averaged 51.7 points in the paint per game (2,172 points/42 games) on the road this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,302 assists/ 1,103 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (8,235 rebounds/246 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Trail Blazers have blocked 448 shots this season — tied for 6th most among NBA teams

The Trail Blazers have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (448 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (5,567 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,123 rebounds/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (697 blocks/124 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (446 blocks/82 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.5 steals per game (617 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.