Trail Blazers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 7

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on KUNP | KATU | FDOK

The Portland Trail Blazers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Trail Blazers vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Trail Blazers are 36-26 against the spread, while the Thunder are 36-23 against the spread.


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Trail Blazers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Portland Trail Blazers O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Trail Blazers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Trail Blazers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.


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  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 52 games (+21.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+14.86 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 84 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 90 games (+18.30 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 77 games (+16.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 36 games (+15.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+15.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+13.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 36-26 (+7.35 Units / 10.61% ROI).

  • 28-35 against the Moneyline (+19.35 Units / 27.72% ROI)
  • 32-30 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -1.44% ROI)
  • 30-32 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 36-23 (+10.7 Units / 15.44% ROI).

  • 51-12 against the Moneyline (+11.9 Units / 3.3% ROI)
  • 36-26 against the Over for game total points (+7.4 Units / 10.68% ROI)
  • 26-36 against the Under for game total points (-13.6 Units / -19.62% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 44 games (-19.95 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 59 games (-19.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 35 games (-18.50 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (-18.00 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 85 games (-16.67 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-25.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.87 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 60 games (-15.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 55 games (-14.95 Units / -23% ROI)

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Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Trail Blazers are 2-14 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .462

The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Trail Blazers were 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Trail Blazers are 1-27 (.036) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are 46-9 (.836) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Thunder are 71-11 (.866) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

The Thunder are 18-4 (.818) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 104.7 points per game (4,292 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.1

The Trail Blazers averaged 1.21 points per shot (4,307 points/3,549 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Trail Blazers averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,722 points/7,356 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Trail Blazers have averaged 1.19 points per shot (7,876 points/6,619 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (736 turnovers/62 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Thunder have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (354 turnovers/62 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,774 rebounds/145 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,106 rebounds/63 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.8 steals per game (667 steals/62 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,361 steals/144 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (674 steals/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9


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