- The Bucks (19-7) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (14-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Tuesday, December 13, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on TNT & NBCS-BA
The Golden State Warriors visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Milwaukee.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Warriors vs Bucks Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 13-14 against the spread, while the Bucks are 14-10 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | +4.5 -115 | O 233.5 -110 | +135 |
Milwaukee Bucks | -4.5 -105 | U 233.5 -110 | -165 |
Bucks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 62.2% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Bucks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Warriors Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 95 games (+19.42 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 98 games (+11.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.44 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 away games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 41 of their last 72 games (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Bucks Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 51 of their last 81 games (+19.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.44 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 56 of their last 85 games (+11.75 Units / 6% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 13-14 (-2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI).
- 14-13 against the Moneyline (-15.55 Units / -20.66% ROI)
- 14-13 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI)
- 13-14 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 14-10 (+3 Units / 10.49% ROI).
- 19-7 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 3.71% ROI)
- 11-15 against the Over for game total points (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI)
- 15-11 against the Under for game total points (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Bucks, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 73 games (-31.52 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-30.15 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games at home (-29.00 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 85 games (-25.38 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 91 games (-24.57 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Warriors, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 95 games (-32.20 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 99 games (-31.38 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 98 games (-31.20 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 48 away games (-28.65 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 95 games (-27.94 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224
The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Bucks are 35-11 (.761) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Bucks are 35-23 (.603) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
The Bucks are 48-20 (.706) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
The Bucks are 52-23 (.693) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Injury Report: Bucks vs. Warriors – Tuesday‘s Game, Dec. 13
- Wesley Matthews (Bucks): The Bucks placed Matthews in the league’s health and safety protocols.
- Khris Middleton (Bucks): Middleton is PROBABLE for Tuesday’s (Dec. 13) game against Golden State.
- Jrue Holiday (Bucks): Holiday is QUESTIONABLE for Tuesday’s (Dec. 13) game against Golden State.
- Joe Ingles (Bucks): Bucks GM Jon Horst said Ingles is expected to return sometime in January.
- Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is OUT for Tuesday’s (Dec. 13) game against Milwaukee.
- Draymond Green (Warriors): Green is PROBABLE for Tuesday’s (Dec. 13) game against Milwaukee.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has yet to make his season debut and the Warriors haven’t announced a timeline for his return.
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%
The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1
The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have an eFG% of 52% this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Bucks have averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.6
The Bucks have averaged 1.16 points per shot (532 points/460 shots) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Bucks have averaged 19.8 points in the paint per game (238 points/12 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.8
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,441 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,165 rebounds/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1
The Bucks have averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (456 rebounds/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.3
The Bucks have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (405 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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