Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 20, 2023, 4:42 PM
  • The Cavaliers (28-18) are -7.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (22-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Friday, January 20, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOH & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Cleveland.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 21-23 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 22-20 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+11.5 -110O 219.5 -115+450
Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5 -110U 219.5 -115-650

Cavaliers vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 67.3% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Cavaliers, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 48 away games (+16.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 96 games (+16.46 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.67 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 89 games (+7.68 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 44 games at home (+16.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 24 games at home (+13.30 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 18 of their last 22 games at home (+11.81 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+9.77 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.52 Units / 43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 21-23 (-4.3 Units / -8.69% ROI).

  • 22-23 against the Moneyline (-25.7 Units / -23.66% ROI)
  • 26-19 against the Over for game total points (+5.1 Units / 10.3% ROI)
  • 19-26 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -19.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 22-20 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 28-18 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 3.26% ROI)
  • 22-24 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.7% ROI)
  • 24-22 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.4% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 80 games (-22.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 72 games (-22.57 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.96 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.83 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 73 games (-19.17 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 49 away games (-33.10 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 98 games (-28.96 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-25.00 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 42 of their last 88 games (-21.75 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 48 away games (-21.30 Units / -40% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Cavaliers are 10-9 (.526) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

The Cavaliers are 27-30 (.474) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Cavaliers are 25-37 (.403) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers are 14-63 (.182) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. WarriorsFriday‘s Game, Jan. 20

  • Dean Wade (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Wade has an AC joint sprain and is expected to miss 3-4 weeks
  • Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): Mitchell is questionable for Friday’s (Jan. 20) game against Golden State.
  • Dylan Windler (Cavaliers): The Cavaliers announced that Windler will miss another 4-6 weeks.
  • James Wiseman (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Wiseman suffered a sprained ankle and will be re-evaluated in one week.
  • JaMychal Green (Warriors): Green hasn’t played since Dec. 18 against Toronto. No timetable for his return has been announced.
  • Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Kuminga suffered a foot sprain and will be re-evaluated in one week.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala did not play in Thursday’s (Jan. 19) game against Boston.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 102.5 points per game (7,379 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Cavaliers are shooting 43% from three (91/211) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Cavaliers are shooting 40% from three (170/426) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have averaged 1.38 points per shot (929 points/675 shots) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 5.6 steals per game (73 steals/13 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (443 rebounds/13 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,188 steals/166 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Cavaliers have averaged 6.8 steals per game (640 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.