- The Celtics (33-12) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (22-22)
- Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points
- Thursday, January 19, 2023 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on TNT & TNT
The Golden State Warriors visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston.
The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Warriors vs Celtics Over/Under is 240.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 20-23 against the spread, while the Celtics are 25-19 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | +6.5 -110 | O 240.5 -110 | +200 |
Boston Celtics | -6.5 -110 | U 240.5 -110 | -250 |
Celtics vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Thursday‘s game with 65.6% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Celtics, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Warriors Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 47 away games (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 95 games (+15.46 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.67 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 88 games (+6.68 Units / 7% ROI)
Celtics Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+18.41 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the Spread in 56 of their last 97 games (+14.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 53 of their last 87 games (+14.14 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+13.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+10.96 Units / 32% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 20-23 (-5.3 Units / -10.95% ROI).
- 22-22 against the Moneyline (-24.7 Units / -22.96% ROI)
- 26-18 against the Over for game total points (+6.2 Units / 12.81% ROI)
- 18-26 against the Under for game total points (-10.6 Units / -21.9% ROI)
Boston Celtics Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 25-19 (+4.1 Units / 8.3% ROI).
- 33-12 against the Moneyline (-7.2 Units / -4.6% ROI)
- 23-22 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.42% ROI)
- 22-23 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -6.67% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Celtics, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 85 games (-28.22 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 87 games (-26.40 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (-21.35 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-21.15 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Boston Celtics have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 45 games at home (-19.10 Units / -11% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Warriors, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 48 away games (-32.10 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 97 games (-27.94 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-25.60 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 87 games (-23.50 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 100 games (-22.35 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Boston Celtics
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Boston Celtics Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Boston Celtics Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics
The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224
The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Celtics are 20-10 (.667) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Celtics are 21-11 (.656) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Celtics are 40-7 (.851) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .767
The Celtics are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
Injury Report: Celtics vs. Warriors – Thursday‘s Game, Jan. 19
- Danilo Gallinari (Celtics): The Celtics announced that Gallinari tore his ACL in his left knee. There is no timetable for his return.
- Jaylen Brown (Celtics): Brown is questionable for Thursday’s (Jan. 19) game against Golden State.
- James Wiseman (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Wiseman suffered a sprained ankle and will be re-evaluated in one week.
- JaMychal Green (Warriors): Green hasn’t played since Dec. 18 against Toronto. No timetable for his return has been announced.
- Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Kuminga suffered a foot sprain and will be re-evaluated in one week.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is out for Thursday’s (Jan. 19) game against Boston.
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0
The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%
The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1
The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5
Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have averaged 1.38 points per shot (1,554 points/1,124 shots) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Celtics have averaged 1.42 points per shot (812 points/570 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Celtics have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (342 assists/ 159 TOs) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Celtics have a TS% of 57% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8
The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends
The Celtics have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (283 blocks/48 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6
The Celtics have averaged 5.3 steals per game (69 steals/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Celtics have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (71 blocks/13 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Celtics have averaged 6.7 steals per game (562 steals/84 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
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