Warriors vs Grizzlies Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Feb. 25

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Golden State Warriors visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Memphis, TN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 26-32 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 25-31 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
Memphis Grizzlies U

Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+8.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+16.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+8.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 26-32 (-9.2 Units / -14.42% ROI).

  • 30-28 against the Moneyline (-11.75 Units / -8.73% ROI)
  • 34-24 against the Over for game total points (+7.6 Units / 11.91% ROI)
  • 24-34 against the Under for game total points (-13.4 Units / -21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 25-31 (-9.1 Units / -14.77% ROI).

  • 21-35 against the Moneyline (-18.4 Units / -24.75% ROI)
  • 27-29 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -7.95% ROI)
  • 29-27 against the Under for game total points (-0.7 Units / -1.14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 45 games at home (-18.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 30 games (-16.03 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-14.25 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the Spread in 17 of their last 45 games at home (-13.80 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-13.50 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.05 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-19.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 30 away games (-14.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-12.65 Units / -37% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Warriors are 67-33 (.670) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 15.3 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Warriors are 6-2 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .589

The Warriors are 14-3 (.824) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .696

The Warriors were 24-1 (.960) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies were 7-1 (.875) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Grizzlies were 3-27 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

The Grizzlies were 1-28 (.034) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field in the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Grizzlies are 15-55 (.214) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have shot 37% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 40.3 points in the paint per game (1,128 points/28 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

The Warriors have averaged 21.0 points in the paint per game (1,220 points/58 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Warriors have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (356 points/30 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Warriors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (927 assists/ 428 TOs) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies averaged 105.8 points per game (8,677 points/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Grizzlies averaged 1.18 points per shot (4,262 points/3,600 shots) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies averaged 11.2 fast break points per game (461 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,978 rebounds/58 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (253 blocks/58 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies allowed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (825 rebounds/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.6

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,017 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Grizzlies forced 16.2 turnovers per game (663 turnovers/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.