Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 18, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Grizzlies (42-27) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (36-35)
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Memphis.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -0.5 (-115).

The Warriors vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 33-37 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 32-35 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+0.5 -105O 235.5 -105-105
Memphis Grizzlies -0.5 -115U 235.5 -105-115

Grizzlies vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Saturday‘s game with 62.4% confidence.

Grizzlies vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Grizzlies will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Grizzlies, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 46 away games (+16.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 76 games (+14.04 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.84 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 46 games at home (+27.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 85 games (+23.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 46 games at home (+22.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 33 of their last 46 games at home (+19.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+13.60 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 33-37 (-7.7 Units / -9.86% ROI).

  • 36-35 against the Moneyline (-27.05 Units / -17.45% ROI)
  • 39-30 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 7.68% ROI)
  • 30-39 against the Under for game total points (-12.9 Units / -16.52% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 32-35 (-6.45 Units / -8.5% ROI).

  • 42-27 against the Moneyline (-0.65 Units / -0.38% ROI)
  • 29-37 against the Over for game total points (-11.7 Units / -15.42% ROI)
  • 37-29 against the Under for game total points (+5.1 Units / 6.72% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 89 games (-34.66 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 90 games (-34.54 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 73 games (-25.91 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 38 games (-23.91 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-23.00 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 44 away games (-33.65 Units / -49% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 away games (-26.54 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 89 games (-25.11 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 50 away games (-23.55 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 80 games (-21.29 Units / -22% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Golden State Warriors are 58-20 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 51.0 rebounds per game (7,694 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Warriors are 43-25 (.632) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Warriors are 2-21 (.087) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .167

The Warriors are 72-51 (.585) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Grizzlies are 52-6 (.897) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .770

The Grizzlies are 73-9 (.890) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .774

The Grizzlies are 105-30 (.778) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .650

The Grizzlies are 26-10 (.722) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .534

Injury Report: Grizzlies vs. WarriorsSaturday‘s Game, Mar. 18

  • Vince Williams Jr. (Grizzlies): Williams Jr. hasn’t played since Mar. 3 against Denver and remains without a timetable to return.
  • Steven Adams (Grizzlies): The Grizzlies announced that Adams continues to recover and will be re-evaluated in about four weeks.
  • Ja Morant (Grizzlies): Morant is serving an 8 game league suspension.
  • Brandon Clarke (Grizzlies): Clarke will miss the rest of the season with a left Achilles tear, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.
  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Gary Payton II (Warriors): Warriors say they cleared Gary Payton II for “various on-court activities†and will be reevaluated in 10 days
  • Draymond Green (Warriors): Green is OUT for Friday’s (Mar 17) game against Atlanta.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala will undergo surgery next week for a fractured left wrist.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 29.6 assists per game (2,072 assists/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Warriors have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 30.7 assists per game (1,104 assists/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5

The Warriors have 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (8,684 points/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Grizzlies have averaged 57.3 points in the paint per game (12,710 points/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

The Grizzlies have averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (4,266 points/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,548 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (970 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (634 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,798 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (930 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (1,366 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 9.1 steals per game (2,021 steals/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (502 blocks/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.