Warriors vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 21

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on FDSE | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Atlanta, GA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 31-39 against the spread, while the Hawks are 37-33 against the spread.

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Warriors vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Hawks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Saturday‘s game with 72.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Hawks.

Hawks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 66.0% confidence.

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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 away games (+7.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+14.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+12.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 31-39 (-11.9 Units / -15.45% ROI).

• 33-37 against the Moneyline (-18.4 Units / -12.09% ROI)
• 42-28 against the Over for game total points (+11.2 Units / 14.55% ROI)
• 28-42 against the Under for game total points (-18.2 Units / -23.64% ROI)

Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 37-33 (+0.75 Units / 0.97% ROI).

• 38-32 against the Moneyline (+3.45 Units / 2.56% ROI)
• 34-36 against the Over for game total points (-5.6 Units / -7.27% ROI)
• 36-34 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.82% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:

• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-20.45 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.75 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-15.65 Units / -23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.65 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.20 Units / -35% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 35 games (-19.05 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 40 games (-17.90 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 23 games (-16.20 Units / -60% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 23 games (-15.55 Units / -55% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 away games (-15.05 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
• Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
• Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Warriors are 10-23 (.303) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .398

The Warriors were 12-5 (.706) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Warriors were 17-10 (.630) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

The Warriors are 62-13 (.827) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .694

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Hawks are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .373

The Hawks are winless (0-6) when assisting on fewer than 20 field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .231

The Hawks were 5-12 (.294) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Hawks were 8-26 (.235) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three in the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .317

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.6 second chance points per game (2,013 points/234 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Warriors have made 16.0 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have averaged 11.8 fast break points per game (402 points/34 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks are shooting 44% from three (127/289) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Hawks have averaged 30.3 assists per game (2,123 assists/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.6

The Hawks have averaged 15.8 assists per game (1,105 assists/70 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Hawks are shooting 37% from three (1,003/2,730) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,342 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,075 blocks/234 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 35.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,868 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Hawks averaged 9.7 steals per game (798 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Hawks have averaged 8.9 steals per game (2,073 steals/234 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

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