Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, Mar. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 23, 2022, 12:13 PM
  • The Heat (38-21) are -6.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (43-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5 points
  • Wednesday, March 23, 2022 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 35-33 against the spread, while the Heat are 40-31 against the spread.

The Warriors vs Heat Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.


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Warriors vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+6.5 -105O 211.5 -110220
Miami Heat -6.5 -115U 211.5 -110-275

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone:

  • 35-33 against the Spread (-1.35 Units / -1.7% ROI)
  • 47-25 against the Moneyline (-10.8 Units / -4.13% ROI)
  • 30-40 against the Over for game total points (-14 Units / -17.69% ROI)
  • 40-30 against the Under for game total points (+7 Units / 8.83% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+11.39 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games (+9.24 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 71 games (+8.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games (-27.25 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 36 games (-20.24 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 34 away games (-20.16 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-18.15 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 37 games (-17.65 Units / -43% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone:

  • 40-31 against the Spread (+5.75 Units / 7.25% ROI)
  • 47-25 against the Moneyline (+17.25 Units / 8.89% ROI)
  • 42-30 against the Over for game total points (+9 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • 30-42 against the Under for game total points (-16.2 Units / -20.45% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 51 games (+21.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games (+18.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.67 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 46 games (+16.01 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 67 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 67 games (-27.42 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 54 games (-21.57 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-16.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-15.70 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The Warriors are 15-6 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468

The Warriors were 36-8 (.818) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .677

The Warriors are 12-5 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .514

The Warriors are 17-5 (.773) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Heat are 27-10 (.730) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Heat are 19-7 (.731) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Heat are 23-8 (.742) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535

The Heat are 12-4 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

Injury Report: Heat vs. WarriorsWednesday‘s Game, Mar. 23

  • Caleb Martin (Heat): The Heat have listed Martin as QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s game (Mar. 23) against the Warriors.
  • Gabe Vincent (Heat): The Heat have listed Vincent as OUT for Wednesday’s game (Mar. 23) against the Warriors.
  • Jimmy Butler (Heat): The Heat have listed Butler as QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s game (Mar. 23) against the Warriors.
  • Tyler Herro (Heat): The Heat have listed Herro as QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s game (Mar. 23) against the Warriors.
  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): The Heat have listed Oladipo as QUESTIONABLE for Wednesday’s game (Mar. 23) against the Warriors.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has not played since Feb. 7 and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): The Warriors will re-evaluate Curry in two weeks, according to Shams Charania of The Athletic.
  • James Wiseman (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Wiseman has been cleared to participate in full team practices, but a timetable for his return to game action has not been determined.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

The Warriors have averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (661 turnovers/44 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have made 14.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 13.5 assists per game (592 assists/44 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.5

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (579 rebounds/72 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 9.8

The Heat are shooting 37% from three (605/1,617) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Heat have made 605 three-pointers this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Heat attempted 2,606 threes last season — 10th most among NBA teams

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.5 steals per game (420 steals/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,603 rebounds/44 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.3

The Warriors have 1,001 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (513 steals/58 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (217 blocks/61 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.7 blocks per game (436 blocks/117 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.3 blocks per game (150 blocks/45 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat averaged 4.0 blocks per game (286 blocks/72 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.