Basketball
Golden State WarriorsMiami Heat

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 1

min read
 BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Heat (2-5) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (3-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Tuesday, November 1, 2022 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSUN & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Heat Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 2-5 against the spread, while the Heat are 1-6 against the spread.

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Warriors vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+1.5 -115O 225.5 -110-105
Miami Heat -1.5 -105U 225.5 -110-115

Heat vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 63.3% confidence.

Heat vs Warriors Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.

  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 87 games (+17.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 away games (+14.93 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.11 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 42 away games (+8.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.27 Units / 12% ROI)
    •
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 86 games (+20.26 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 95 games (+13.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 3Q Spread in 56 of their last 95 games (+12.67 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+10.80 Units / 29% ROI)
    •

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 2-5 (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

    • 3-4 against the Moneyline (-7.8 Units / -37.59% ROI)
    • 6-1 against the Over for game total points (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI)
    • 1-6 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 1-6 (-5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI).

    • 2-5 against the Moneyline (-6.35 Units / -55.7% ROI)
    • 4-3 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI)
    • 3-4 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 90 games (-30.38 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 86 games (-28.62 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 90 games (-26.02 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 86 games (-18.99 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 89 games (-18.95 Units / -19% ROI)
    •
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-31.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 49 away games (-25.95 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 99 games (-25.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 93 games (-25.50 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.20 Units / -22% ROI)
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    Jump to:

    Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

    The Golden State Warriors were 38-10 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin last season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons averaged 42.3 rebounds per game (3,340 rebounds/79 games) last season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

    The Warriors were 16-8 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Warriors are 8-2 (.727) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

    The Warriors are 57-13 (.814) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

    Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

    The Miami Heat were 25-9 (.735) when they win the turnover margin last season — fifth-best among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (1,173 turnovers/82 games) last season — second-highest among NBA teams.

    The Heat were 27-3 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .772

    The Heat were 36-8 (.818) when winning the rebounding margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

    The Heat are 53-25 (.679) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

    Injury Report: Heat vs. Warriors – Tuesday‘s Game, Nov. 1

  • Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo isn’t traveling with the team for their upcoming three-game road trip, according to Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald.
  • Omer Yurtseven (Heat): Yurtseven says his goal is to be back within a week.
    •
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is out for Tuesday’s (Nov. 1) game against Miami.
  • Donte DiVincenzo (Warriors): Warriors coach Steve Kerr said DiVincenzo will be re-evaluated in a week.
    •

    Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Warriors averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (1,173 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

    The Warriors have averaged 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,359 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

    The Warriors had a TS% of 52% last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    The Warriors made 14.3 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat shot 38% from three (1,100/2,888) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Heat averaged 42.9 points in the paint per game (3,476 points/81 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47.0

    The Heat shot 39% from three (562/1,461) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

    The Heat shot 38% from three (548/1,431) in the first half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Warriors averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,924 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Warriors averaged 8.7 steals per game (717 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Warriors stole the ball 717 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

    The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,414 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Heat averaged 3.2 blocks per game (260 blocks/81 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (277 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

    The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (546 blocks/153 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

    The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (269 blocks/76 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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