Warriors vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on KJZZ | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Salt Lake City, UT.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Jazz Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 23-25 against the spread, while the Jazz are 25-22 against the spread.

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Warriors vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Jazz vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 75.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Jazz.

Jazz vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Jazz will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 59.0% confidence.

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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+9.37 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.30 Units / 36% ROI)

Jazz Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games at home (+11.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 40% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 23-25 (-4.5 Units / -8.52% ROI).

• 26-22 against the Moneyline (-10.25 Units / -8.62% ROI)
• 28-20 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 11.36% ROI)
• 20-28 against the Under for game total points (-10.8 Units / -20.45% ROI)

Utah Jazz Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 25-22 (+0.8 Units / 1.55% ROI).

• 15-32 against the Moneyline (+7.5 Units / 15.37% ROI)
• 29-18 against the Over for game total points (+9.2 Units / 17.8% ROI)
• 18-29 against the Under for game total points (-13.9 Units / -26.89% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Jazz:

• The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 games at home (-22.20 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-18.90 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-13.25 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.85 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Utah Jazz have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-12.75 Units / -35% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-21.45 Units / -30% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-19.05 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 50 away games (-16.75 Units / -19% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 away games (-16.55 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.30 Units / -25% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Keys to Winning for the Utah Jazz
• Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Utah Jazz Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
• Utah Jazz Defensive stats

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Warriors are 13-6 (.684) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have forced 12.4 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest in the NBA.

The Warriors are 5-13 (.278) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Warriors are 17-5 (.773) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Warriors are 67-31 (.684) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-best in the NBA. The Jazz have averaged 16.3 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest in the NBA.

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Jazz are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

The Jazz were 3-35 (.079) when losing the rebounding margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .358

The Jazz are 4-14 (.222) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 39.8 points in the paint per game (956 points/24 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

The Warriors have averaged 21.5 points in the paint per game (1,032 points/48 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (3,437 turnovers/211 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Jazz have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (174 assists/ 74 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Jazz averaged 17.2 turnovers per game (1,412 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Jazz have averaged 16.7 turnovers per game (2,152 turnovers/129 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 10.2 steals per game (661 steals/65 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Warriors have averaged 9.9 steals per game (473 steals/48 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have 473 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,644 rebounds/48 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have allowed 127.5 points per game (5,994 points/47 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.7

The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (2,933 points/2,058 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Jazz allowed 21.6 fast break points per game (884 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.8

The Jazz averaged 6.5 steals per game (537 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

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