Warriors vs Jazz Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 9

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Golden State Warriors visit Delta Center to take on the Utah Jazz on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Salt Lake City, UT.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Jazz Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 29-34 against the spread, while the Jazz are 34-30 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Jazz Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
Utah Jazz U

Jazz vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 66.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Jazz.

Jazz vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games at home (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (+11.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 29-34 (-8.4 Units / -12.12% ROI).

  • 32-31 against the Moneyline (-10.6 Units / -7.54% ROI)
  • 37-26 against the Over for game total points (+8.4 Units / 12.12% ROI)
  • 26-37 against the Under for game total points (-14.7 Units / -21.21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Jazz have gone 34-30 (+1 Units / 1.42% ROI).

  • 19-45 against the Moneyline (-0.55 Units / -0.81% ROI)
  • 36-28 against the Over for game total points (+5.2 Units / 7.39% ROI)
  • 28-36 against the Under for game total points (-11.6 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 35 games at home (-17.50 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.50 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 45 games (-13.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.25 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Utah Jazz have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.20 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 50 games (-16.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-15.75 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 2 of their last 16 games (-14.45 Units / -77% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.20 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 16 games (-13.10 Units / -68% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Utah Jazz

The Warriors are 6-16 (.273) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Warriors are 2-10 (.167) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .235

The Warriors were 25-6 (.806) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Warriors are 17-8 (.680) when they win the turnover margin this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

Utah Jazz: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Jazz are winless (0-8) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .589

The Jazz were winless (0-5) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line in the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Jazz are 4-16 (.200) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Jazz were 6-35 (.146) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 21.3 points in the paint per game (1,340 points/63 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Warriors have made 15.1 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors have averaged 30.8 assists per game (985 assists/32 games) at home this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.8

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

Utah Jazz Offensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz have averaged 16.2 turnovers per game (3,694 turnovers/228 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Jazz averaged 17.2 turnovers per game (1,412 turnovers/82 games) last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Jazz averaged 8.0 turnovers per game (655 turnovers/82 games) in the second half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Jazz have averaged 16.5 turnovers per game (2,409 turnovers/146 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 10.2 steals per game (738 steals/72 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have averaged 9.6 steals per game (1,392 steals/145 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Warriors have 621 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (273 blocks/63 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Utah Jazz Defensive Stats & Trends

The Jazz allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (652/1,570) in the first half in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Jazz have allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (3,956 points/2,769 shots) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Jazz have allowed 19.8 fast break points per game (2,262 points/114 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.3

The Jazz have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (232 blocks/64 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.