Warriors vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 10

• The Warriors are -10.5 favorites vs. the Kings
• Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
• Watch the game on NSCA | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Sacramento, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Warriors vs Kings Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 35-45 against the spread, while the Kings are 34-46 against the spread.

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Warriors vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Kings vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 70.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Kings.

Kings vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.7% confidence.

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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+8.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Kings Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+12.51 Units / 71% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 32% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 35-45 (-14.5 Units / -16.48% ROI).

• 37-43 against the Moneyline (-20.6 Units / -11.25% ROI)
• 47-32 against the Over for game total points (+11.8 Units / 13.41% ROI)
• 32-47 against the Under for game total points (-19.7 Units / -22.39% ROI)

Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 34-46 (-16.6 Units / -18.86% ROI).

• 21-59 against the Moneyline (-4.65 Units / -5.34% ROI)
• 40-40 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
• 40-40 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:

• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 40 games at home (-18.55 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.85 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-14.25 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-12.65 Units / -27% ROI)
• The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-12.00 Units / -26% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 45 games (-25.55 Units / -40% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 50 games (-20.80 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.55 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 games (-19.35 Units / -47% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.50 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
• Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
• Sacramento Kings Defensive stats

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Warriors are undefeated (10-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .788

The Warriors are 51-9 (.850) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors are 22-24 (.478) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Warriors are 8-4 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Kings are 1-8 (.111) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Kings are 4-36 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .216

The Kings are 8-28 (.222) when they lose the turnover margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .406

The Kings are 13-26 (.333) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have made 15.8 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Warriors have averaged 11.5 fast break points per game (470 points/41 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Warriors have averaged 5.6 fast break points per game (452 points/80 games) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Warriors have averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (963 points/80 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

The Kings have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings have a TS% of 50% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Kings are shooting 34% from three (819/2,411) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (339 blocks/80 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Warriors have 781 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,660 rebounds/80 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (823 steals/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (3,371/8,816) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Kings have allowed an average of 1.49 points per shot (1,104 points/743 shots) in close and late situations this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32

The Kings have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,432 rebounds/244 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (2,297/6,040) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

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