Warriors vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 23

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on PEAC | NSBA | NBCS

The Golden State Warriors visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in Dallas, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 31-40 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 31-40 against the spread.

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Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mavericks vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.7% confidence.

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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.75 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 31-40 (-13 Units / -16.65% ROI).

• 33-38 against the Moneyline (-19.4 Units / -12.66% ROI)
• 43-28 against the Over for game total points (+12.2 Units / 15.62% ROI)
• 28-43 against the Under for game total points (-19.3 Units / -24.71% ROI)

Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 31-40 (-13.05 Units / -16.7% ROI).

• 23-48 against the Moneyline (-14.35 Units / -15.94% ROI)
• 31-40 against the Over for game total points (-13 Units / -16.65% ROI)
• 40-31 against the Under for game total points (+5.9 Units / 7.55% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:

• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 50 games (-23.35 Units / -41% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.65 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-15.95 Units / -29% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-15.80 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-15.70 Units / -39% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-18.05 Units / -32% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 24 games (-17.25 Units / -61% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.15 Units / -34% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 24 games (-16.55 Units / -57% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-16.30 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
• Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
• Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Warriors were 8-16 (.333) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws in the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Warriors are 62-13 (.827) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .694

The Warriors are 48-7 (.873) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Warriors are 68-38 (.642) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Mavericks are 8-30 (.211) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .430

The Mavericks are 5-6 (.455) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

The Mavericks are 5-21 (.192) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Mavericks are 11-27 (.289) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .463

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 21.2 points in the paint per game (1,504 points/71 games) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Warriors shot 43% (431/1,011) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Warriors have made 16.0 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks are shooting 33% from three (379/1,137) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Mavericks have averaged 1.27 points per shot (8,059 points/6,346 shots) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.8 steals per game (698 steals/71 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,369 rebounds/71 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.9

The Warriors have 698 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Warriors averaged 9.4 steals per game (771 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 5.4 blocks per game (445 blocks/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks blocked 445 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (523 steals/71 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

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