Warriors vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 2

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 02, 2023, 5:31 PM
  • The Nuggets are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Sunday, April 2, 2023 at 8:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on ALT & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Nuggets Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 36-41 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 41-35 against the spread.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Warriors vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+2.5 -110O 233.5 -110+115
Denver Nuggets -2.5 -110U 233.5 -110-140

Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 56.5% confidence.

Nuggets vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


Bet now on Nuggets vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 49 away games (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+12.37 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 73 games (+28.22 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games at home (+16.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.64 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+9.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 48 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-41 (-9.1 Units / -10.61% ROI).

  • 41-37 against the Moneyline (-25.5 Units / -13.32% ROI)
  • 42-34 against the Over for game total points (+4.6 Units / 5.36% ROI)
  • 34-42 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units / -14.22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 41-35 (+2.5 Units / 2.95% ROI).

  • 51-26 against the Moneyline (+4.5 Units / 2.1% ROI)
  • 36-40 against the Over for game total points (-8 Units / -9.45% ROI)
  • 40-36 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.47% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 73 games (-37.66 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 85 games (-24.51 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 85 games (-19.30 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 85 games (-18.37 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 74 games (-17.13 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 47 away games (-32.90 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 25 games (-26.65 Units / -72% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 72 games (-25.58 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 85 games (-25.14 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the Spread in 13 of their last 47 away games (-24.45 Units / -47% ROI)

Jump to:

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Golden State Warriors are 58-20 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 51.0 rebounds per game (7,694 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.

The Warriors are 43-25 (.632) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Warriors are 2-21 (.087) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .167

The Warriors are 72-51 (.585) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Nuggets are 45-16 (.738) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Nuggets are 29-9 (.763) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Nuggets are 16-5 (.762) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Nuggets are 13-9 (.591) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .468

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. WarriorsSunday‘s Game, Apr. 2

  • Zeke Nnaji (Nuggets): Nnaji is questionable for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Golden State.
  • Jamal Murray (Nuggets): Murray is probable for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Golden State.
  • Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): Jokic is questionable for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Golden State.
  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Porter Jr. is probable for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Golden State.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie has not played this season and no timetable has been announced for his return.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets): Caldwell-Pope is probable for Sunday’s (Apr. 2) game against Golden State.
  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins played his last game (Feb. 13) and remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors.
  • Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala underwent successful surgery on his left wrist Tuesday and will be re-evaluated in four weeks.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 29.6 assists per game (2,072 assists/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Warriors have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors have averaged 30.7 assists per game (1,104 assists/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5

The Warriors have 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (5,068/9,911) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,413/6,651) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 52% (1,623/3,125) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,548 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (970 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (634 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,798 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (928 blocks/222 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (308 blocks/77 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have 513 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (605 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


Bet now on Nuggets vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.