Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 22

  • The Warriors are -10.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | GCSE | ESPN

The Golden State Warriors visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 10-4 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 4-12 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 59.1% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 away games (+18.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 away games (+17.74 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 65 games (+13.43 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 36 away games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 90 games (+15.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+15.13 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 73 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 73 games (+13.11 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 53 of their last 90 games (+12.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 10-4 (+5.6 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • 11-3 against the Moneyline (+7.25 Units / 23.62% ROI)
  • 9-5 against the Over for game total points (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI)
  • 5-9 against the Under for game total points (-4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 4-12 (-9.2 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 4-12 against the Moneyline (-9.25 Units / -45.45% ROI)
  • 9-6 against the Over for game total points (+2.4 Units / 13.64% ROI)
  • 6-9 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -22.16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-24.65 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 75 games (-24.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-22.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 39 games at home (-21.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-16.92 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-15.78 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 67 games (-15.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 away games (-13.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 81 games (-13.55 Units / -15% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Warriors are 10-1 (.909) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 115.4 points per game this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

The Warriors were 28-4 (.875) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Warriors are 28-15 (.651) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Warriors were 23-2 (.920) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Pelicans are 1-7 (.125) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Warriors have averaged 58.3 rebounds/game this season — 2nd-highest in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Pelicans are undefeated (8-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .896

The Pelicans are 21-4 (.840) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .695

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors are shooting 69% from the free throw line (221/318) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Warriors have averaged 63.6 points per game (891 points/14 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.0

The Warriors have made 15.5 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Warriors have made 15.0 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 50.6 points per game (809 points/16 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.0

The Pelicans have averaged 1.17 points per shot (809 points/690 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have allowed an eFG% of 49% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Warriors have averaged 38.6 defensive rebounds per game (540 rebounds/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Warriors have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,558 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (168/538) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,157/3,440) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 31.8 defensive rebounds per game (509 rebounds/16 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.