Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Pelicans (4-2) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (3-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points
  • Friday, November 4, 2022 at 8:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSNO & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in New Orleans.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Pelicans Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 2-7 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 4-3 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+10.5 -110O 227.5 -115400
New Orleans Pelicans -10.5 -110U 227.5 -115-550

Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Friday‘s game with 65.7% confidence.

Pelicans vs Warriors Spread Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 89 games (+16.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 away games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 away games (+8.03 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 69 games (+20.72 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 57 games (+20.56 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 67 games (+18.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 71 games (+18.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 56 games (+15.78 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 2-7 (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI).

    • 3-6 against the Moneyline (-13.05 Units / -50.19% ROI)
    • 7-2 against the Over for game total points (+4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI)
    • 2-7 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI)

    Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).

    • 4-3 against the Moneyline (-0.6 Units / -5.24% ROI)
    • 6-1 against the Over for game total points (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI)
    • 1-6 against the Under for game total points (-5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 69 games (-28.56 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 78 games (-26.85 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 69 games (-25.75 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 74 games (-22.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 88 games (-18.11 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 100 games (-31.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 80 games (-28.70 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 95 games (-25.60 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 46 away games (-25.20 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.86 Units / -26% ROI)
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    Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

    The Golden State Warriors were 38-10 (.792) when winning the rebounding margin last season — ninth-best among NBA teams. The Detroit Pistons averaged 42.3 rebounds per game (3,340 rebounds/79 games) last season — fourth-lowest among NBA teams.

    The Warriors were 16-8 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Warriors are 8-2 (.727) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

    The Warriors are 57-13 (.814) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

    New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

    The Pelicans were 6-34 (.150) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .293

    The Pelicans are 17-32 (.347) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

    The Pelicans were 12-16 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

    The Pelicans are 3-7 (.300) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

    Injury Report: Pelicans vs. WarriorsFriday‘s Game, Nov. 4

  • E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram is probable for Friday’s (Nov. 4) game against Golden State.
  • Brandon Ingram (Pelicans): Ingram is out for the team’s upcoming three-game road trip.
  • Kira Lewis Jr. (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Lewis Jr. suffered a torn ACL and a grade 2 MCL sprain.
  • Herbert Jones (Pelicans): Jones is probable for Friday’s (Nov. 4) game against Golden State.
  • Donte DiVincenzo (Warriors): The Warriors announced that DiVincenzo will be re-evaluated this weekend.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is out for Thursday’s (Nov. 3) game against Orlando.
  • Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Warriors averaged 14.3 turnovers per game (1,173 turnovers/82 games) last season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

    The Warriors have averaged 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,359 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

    The Warriors had a TS% of 52% last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

    The Warriors made 14.3 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

    The Pelicans have 24.5 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

    The Pelicans averaged 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (981 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

    The Pelicans shot 32% from three (427/1,345) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

    The Pelicans made 10.6 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4

    Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Warriors averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,924 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

    The Warriors averaged 8.7 steals per game (717 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Warriors stole the ball 717 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

    The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,414 rebounds/154 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

    New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

    The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (678 steals/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

    The Pelicans have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (313 blocks/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

    The Pelicans stole the ball 678 times last season — 7th most among NBA teams

    The Pelicans have 1,223 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th most among NBA teams


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