Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 18, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Raptors (13-16) are -5.5 favorites vs. the Warriors (14-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Sunday, December 18, 2022 at 6:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Toronto.

The Raptors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Raptors Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 13-17 against the spread, while the Raptors are 14-15 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors+6.5 -115O 223.5 -110+185
Toronto Raptors -6.5 -105U 223.5 -110-225

Raptors vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Raptors will win Sunday‘s game with 62.0% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Raptors, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 98 games (+16.16 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 55 of their last 98 games (+9.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 62 games (+6.97 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 47 games (+17.76 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 47 games (+17.02 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 84 games (+16.58 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 84 games (+13.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1H Spread in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 13-17 (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI).

  • 14-16 against the Moneyline (-18.75 Units / -23.9% ROI)
  • 17-13 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI)
  • 13-17 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 14-15 (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI).

  • 13-16 against the Moneyline (-9.75 Units / -17.21% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 62 games (-23.07 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 82 games (-19.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-16.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-15.50 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 83 games (-15.40 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 98 games (-33.65 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 99 games (-32.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 98 games (-29.20 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 48 of their last 98 games (-28.94 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 away games (-27.20 Units / -37% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Raptors are 22-4 (.846) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Raptors are 23-10 (.697) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Raptors are 13-19 (.406) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

The Raptors are 26-43 (.371) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

Injury Report: Raptors vs. WarriorsSunday‘s Game, Dec. 18

  • OG Anunoby (Raptors): Raptors coach Nick Nurse said Anunoby will be re-evaluated in a week.
  • Gary Trent Jr. (Raptors): Trent Jr. is questionable for Sunday’s (Dec. 18) game against Golden State.
  • Otto Porter Jr. (Raptors): Raptors coach Nick Nurse said Porter Jr. could return in about a month.
  • Precious Achiuwa (Raptors): Raptors coach Nick Nurse said Achiuwa will miss another few weeks.
  • Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins is out for Sunday’s (Dec. 18) game against Toronto.
  • Klay Thompson (Warriors): Thompson is probable for Sunday’s (Dec. 18) game against Toronto.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has yet to make his season debut and the Warriors haven’t announced a timeline for his return.
  • Draymond Green (Warriors): Green is probable for Sunday’s (Dec. 18) game against Toronto.
  • Stephen Curry (Warriors): Curry is expected to miss a few weeks with a left shoulder injury, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of ESPN.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (290 points/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Raptors have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (151 points/14 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors have averaged 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,260 rebounds/96 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.3

The Raptors have averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (139 points/14 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 11.0 steals per game (154 steals/14 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Raptors have 154 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 31.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,333 rebounds/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.1

The Raptors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (1,499 steals/168 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.