Warriors vs Rockets Player Prop Bets Tonight – NBA, Mar. 5

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
• Watch the game on Amazon | NSBA

The Golden State Warriors visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 pm in Houston, TX.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 27-34 against the spread, while the Rockets are 27-33 against the spread.

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Warriors vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rockets vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 67.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Rockets.

Rockets vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 64.0% confidence.

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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 16 away games (+9.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+9.60 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)

Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Houston Rockets have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games (+15.82 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+9.25 Units / 5% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 27-34 (-10.4 Units / -15.5% ROI).

• 31-30 against the Moneyline (-12.85 Units / -9.28% ROI)
• 36-25 against the Over for game total points (+8.5 Units / 12.67% ROI)
• 25-36 against the Under for game total points (-14.6 Units / -21.76% ROI)

Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 27-33 (-9.25 Units / -14.03% ROI).

• 38-22 against the Moneyline (-18.8 Units / -8.61% ROI)
• 26-34 against the Over for game total points (-11.37 Units / -17.24% ROI)
• 34-26 against the Under for game total points (+5.4 Units / 8.17% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:

• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (-28.80 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 35 games (-21.00 Units / -52% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 50 games (-17.17 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only covered the Spread in 13 of their last 40 games (-16.70 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games (-16.46 Units / -21% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 50 games (-19.50 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.05 Units / -31% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 3Q Spread in 1 of their last 14 games (-14.35 Units / -87% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.15 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 14 games (-13.85 Units / -80% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
• Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Houston Rockets Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
• Houston Rockets Defensive stats

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Warriors are 6-16 (.273) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Warriors are 17-7 (.708) when they win the turnover margin this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

The Warriors are 2-10 (.167) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .241

The Warriors were 46-32 (.590) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Rockets are 5-1 (.833) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Rockets are 15-1 (.938) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Rockets are 1-19 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .239

The Rockets are 18-3 (.857) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 40.9 points in the paint per game (1,186 points/29 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.3

The Warriors have averaged 21.2 points in the paint per game (1,294 points/61 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors have made 16.3 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,844 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Rockets had an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets had a TS% of 44% in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Rockets shot 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,072 rebounds/61 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (720 steals/70 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 9.9 steals per game (603 steals/61 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 8.8 steals per game (527 steals/60 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5

The Rockets have blocked 353 shots this season — tied for 4th most among NBA teams

The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

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