- The Warriors (36-36) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Rockets (18-52)
- Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
- Monday, March 20, 2023 at 8:00pm EDT
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW & NBCS-BA
The Golden State Warriors visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).
The Warriors vs Rockets Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 33-38 against the spread, while the Rockets are 28-39 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | -10.5 -115 | O 235.5 -110 | -600 |
| Houston Rockets | +10.5 -105 | U 235.5 -110 | +425 |
Rockets vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 73.5% confidence.
Rockets vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.1% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Rockets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
Bet now on Rockets vs Warriors and all NBA games with BetMGM
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 47 away games (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 77 games (+15.04 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.74 Units / 27% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games at home (+15.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+12.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 64 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 33-38 (-8.8 Units / -11.11% ROI).
- 36-36 against the Moneyline (-28.3 Units / -18.11% ROI)
- 40-30 against the Over for game total points (+7 Units / 8.84% ROI)
- 30-40 against the Under for game total points (-14 Units / -17.68% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 28-39 (-14.9 Units / -19.08% ROI).
- 18-53 against the Moneyline (-13.65 Units / -18.61% ROI)
- 35-36 against the Over for game total points (-4.6 Units / -5.89% ROI)
- 36-35 against the Under for game total points (-2.5 Units / -3.2% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-24.88 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 78 games (-20.65 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 73 games (-17.47 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 23 of their last 73 games (-17.26 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 70 games (-16.38 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 45 away games (-34.90 Units / -49% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 34 of their last 79 games (-26.22 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 90 games (-26.17 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the Spread in 12 of their last 45 away games (-24.35 Units / -49% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (-22.39 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Golden State Warriors are 58-20 (.744) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-best among NBA teams. The Atlanta Hawks have averaged 51.0 rebounds per game (7,694 rebounds/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — ninth-lowest among NBA teams.
The Warriors are 43-25 (.632) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Warriors are 2-21 (.087) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .167
The Warriors are 72-51 (.585) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Rockets are 8-84 (.087) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .225
The Houston Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin this season — worst among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 51.9 rebounds per game (3,579 rebounds/69 games) this season — 10th-highest among NBA teams.
The Rockets are 23-78 (.225) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Rockets are 13-52 (.200) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452
Injury Report: Rockets vs. Warriors – Monday‘s Game, Mar. 20
- Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported
- Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Gary Payton II (Warriors): Warriors say they cleared Gary Payton II for “various on-court activities†and will be reevaluated in 10 days
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Iguodala will undergo surgery next week for a fractured left wrist.
- Kevon Looney (Warriors): Looney is questionable for Monday’s (Mar. 20) game against Houston.
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 29.6 assists per game (2,072 assists/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1
The Warriors have made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Warriors have averaged 30.7 assists per game (1,104 assists/36 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.5
The Warriors have 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (2,538 assists/ 1,760 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (779 assists/ 587 TOs) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (1,703 assists/ 1,262 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (749 assists/ 577 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,548 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (970 blocks/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Warriors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (634 blocks/152 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Warriors have averaged 8.0 steals per game (1,798 steals/224 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 35.3 defensive rebounds per game (7,861 rebounds/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36.0
The Rockets have forced 13.1 turnovers per game (457 turnovers/35 games) at home this season — 6th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3
The Rockets have forced 13.3 turnovers per game (916 turnovers/69 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2
The Rockets have forced 13.5 turnovers per game (459 turnovers/34 games) on the road this season — 10th lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1
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