Warriors vs Suns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 17

• The Suns are -3.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
• Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
• Watch the game on Amazon

The Golden State Warriors visit Mortgage Matchup Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in Phoenix, AZ.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Warriors vs Suns Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 36-47 against the spread, while the Suns are 47-35 against the spread.

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Warriors vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Suns vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Suns.

Suns vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.32 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.86 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)

Suns Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.43 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games (+13.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 36-47 (-15.7 Units / -17.2% ROI).

• 38-45 against the Moneyline (-24.5 Units / -12.91% ROI)
• 49-33 against the Over for game total points (+12.7 Units / 13.91% ROI)
• 33-49 against the Under for game total points (-20.9 Units / -22.89% ROI)

Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 47-35 (+8.5 Units / 9.31% ROI).

• 45-38 against the Moneyline (+4.4 Units / 2.62% ROI)
• 38-44 against the Over for game total points (-10.4 Units / -11.39% ROI)
• 44-38 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 2.41% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:

• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 50 games (-25.85 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.75 Units / -37% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 50 games (-20.71 Units / -36% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-13.65 Units / -24% ROI)
• The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games at home (-12.70 Units / -24% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:

• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 50 games (-27.60 Units / -39% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 45 games (-21.85 Units / -42% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 away games (-18.95 Units / -26% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.76 Units / -33% ROI)
• The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games (-18.60 Units / -33% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
• Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
• Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns
• Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
• Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
• Phoenix Suns Defensive stats

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Warriors are undefeated (10-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Warriors are 3-18 (.143) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .213

The Warriors are 11-13 (.458) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Warriors are 7-22 (.241) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Suns are 40-14 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .649

The Suns are undefeated (12-0) when their eFG is 60% or better this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .856

The Suns are 26-10 (.722) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Suns are 62-32 (.660) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 21.3 points in the paint per game (1,750 points/82 games) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Warriors have averaged 17.0 turnovers per game (699 turnovers/41 games) on the road this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Warriors have averaged 8.5 second chance points per game (2,098 points/246 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Warriors have made 15.3 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have 20.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Suns have averaged 43.1 points in the paint per game (3,536 points/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.8

The Suns have averaged 42.0 points in the paint per game (1,722 points/41 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.9

The Suns have averaged 20.0 points in the paint per game (1,638 points/82 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.4

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.7 steals per game (796 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have 796 steals this season — tied for 2nd most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 33.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,726 rebounds/82 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Warriors have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (346 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,673 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Suns have 781 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 9.5 steals per game (781 steals/82 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Suns have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (333 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

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