- The Suns are -2.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | KTVK | AZFS | NSBA
The Golden State Warriors visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Warriors vs Suns Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 11-7 against the spread, while the Suns are 6-12 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Golden State Warriors | O | ||
| Phoenix Suns | U |
Suns vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Saturday‘s game with 70.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Suns.
Suns vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.5% confidence.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 away games (+18.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 43 away games (+14.49 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 41 of their last 69 games (+13.18 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.83 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 31% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 11-7 (+3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI).
- 12-6 against the Moneyline (-2.85 Units / -6.12% ROI)
- 10-8 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 6.06% ROI)
- 8-10 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 6-12 (-7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- 10-8 against the Moneyline (-0.45 Units / -1.25% ROI)
- 11-7 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI)
- 7-11 against the Under for game total points (-5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 86 games (-27.25 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 86 games (-26.30 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 81 games (-26.08 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games at home (-21.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 52 games (-21.62 Units / -36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 29 of their last 71 games (-16.00 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 83 games (-15.80 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 83 games (-15.07 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-13.63 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 58 games (-13.40 Units / -21% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Warriors are 35-4 (.897) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .685
The Warriors are winless (0-13) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .112
The Warriors were 20-3 (.870) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
The Warriors are 27-3 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Suns are 16-8 (.667) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Suns are 22-9 (.710) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558
The Suns are 45-32 (.584) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488
The Suns were 39-26 (.600) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 70% from the free throw line (251/360) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors have made 15.5 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Warriors have made 15.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Warriors have made 15.9 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 40.5 points in the paint per game (648 points/16 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.4
The Suns have averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (565 points/98 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Suns averaged 46.9 points in the paint per game (3,846 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Suns had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (2,218 assists/ 1,221 TOs) last season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (193/624) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Warriors have averaged 38.8 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/16 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Warriors have allowed an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Warriors have allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (60/211) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Suns blocked 491 shots last season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Suns have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (569 blocks/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
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