- The Warriors (34-31) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Thunder (30-34)
- Total (Over/Under): 242.5 points
- Tuesday, March 7, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSOK & NBCS-BA
The Golden State Warriors visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The Warriors vs Thunder Over/Under is 243.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 31-33 against the spread, while the Thunder are 39-24 against the spread.
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Warriors vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Golden State Warriors | -4.5 -105 | O 243.5 -110 | -185 |
Oklahoma City Thunder | +4.5 -115 | U 243.5 -110 | +150 |
Thunder vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Tuesday‘s game with 61.9% confidence.
Thunder vs Warriors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 42 away games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 70 games (+14.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.92 Units / 31% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 47 of their last 78 games (+30.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 43 games at home (+21.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+21.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 48 of their last 78 games (+16.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+13.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 31-33 (-5.3 Units / -7.41% ROI).
- 34-31 against the Moneyline (-23.95 Units / -16.35% ROI)
- 35-29 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 4.34% ROI)
- 29-35 against the Under for game total points (-9.5 Units / -13.29% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 39-24 (+12.7 Units / 18.05% ROI).
- 30-34 against the Moneyline (+14.15 Units / 17.4% ROI)
- 37-26 against the Over for game total points (+8.4 Units / 11.93% ROI)
- 26-37 against the Under for game total points (-14.7 Units / -20.88% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 82 games (-31.75 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 67 games (-24.72 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.89 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-19.80 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 47 away games (-29.35 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-24.84 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 47 away games (-22.86 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 100 games (-20.85 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the Spread in 16 of their last 49 away games (-20.35 Units / -38% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Warriors are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247
The Warriors are 37-20 (.649) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Warriors are 4-26 (.133) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .221
The Warriors are 9-28 (.243) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .273
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 19-68 (.218) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz have averaged 45.8 rebounds per game (6,454 rebounds/141 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-highest among NBA teams.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are 8-43 (.157) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — fourth-worst among NBA teams. The Utah Jazz made 14.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — second-highest among NBA teams.
The Thunder are 26-45 (.366) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Thunder are 24-41 (.369) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Warriors – Tuesday‘s Game, Mar. 7
- Jalen Williams (Thunder): Williams is questionable for Tuesday’s (Mar. 7) game against Golden State.
- Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren is moving around is shooting again, according to Quenton Albertie of Clutch Points. He’s not expected to play this season as he recovers from a Lisfranc injury.
- Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Pokusevski is starting to shoot again, according to Andrew Schlecht of The Athletic. No timetable has been announced for his return to action.
- Kenrich Williams (Thunder): The Thunder announced that Williams suffered a ligament rupture in his left wrist.
- Draymond Green (Warriors): Green is probable for Tuesday’s (Mar 7) game against Oklahoma City.
- Andrew Wiggins (Warriors): Wiggins remains without a timetable to return to the Warriors, according to Anthony Slater of The Athletic.
- Ryan Rollins (Warriors): The Warriors announced that Rollins has a Jones fracture in his right foot and will undergo surgery.
- Gary Payton II (Warriors): Warriors GM Bob Myers said Payton II will be re-evaluated in a month.
- Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala is probable for Tuesday’s (Mar 7) game against Oklahoma City.
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have 20.2 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.7
The Warriors have averaged 14.2 assists per game (849 assists/60 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 11.9
The Warriors have averaged 30.5 assists per game (944 assists/31 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4
The Warriors have made 16.6 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 1.18 points per shot (11,288 points/9,537 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,353 assists/ 1,467 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Thunder have averaged 1.20 points per shot (22,998 points/19,141 shots) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Thunder are shooting 43% (4,145/9,537) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,063 rebounds/60 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,993 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.7
The Warriors have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,724 steals/214 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors have 1,143 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th most among NBA teams
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,912 rebounds/59 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.1
The Thunder have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (7,367 rebounds/213 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9
The Thunder have 1,109 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (459 blocks/106 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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