Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 26

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  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Golden State Warriors visit to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 pm in .

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 23-24 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 19-27 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Monday‘s game with 67.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Warriors and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 62.4% confidence.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 2H Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.38 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+10.21 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 23-24 (-3.4 Units / -6.58% ROI).

  • 26-21 against the Moneyline (-9.25 Units / -7.85% ROI)
  • 28-19 against the Over for game total points (+7.1 Units / 13.73% ROI)
  • 19-28 against the Under for game total points (-11.8 Units / -22.82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 19-27 (-10.75 Units / -21.22% ROI).

  • 27-19 against the Moneyline (-16.2 Units / -11.29% ROI)
  • 22-24 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -8.7% ROI)
  • 24-22 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games (-31.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 15 games at home (-19.30 Units / -70% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (-17.95 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games at home (-14.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 45 games (-20.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.75 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 away games (-14.75 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 away games (-14.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 25 away games (-14.20 Units / -33% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Warriors are 5-12 (.294) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Warriors are 17-4 (.810) when they win the turnover margin this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

The Warriors are 12-3 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .680

The Warriors are 52-7 (.881) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .812

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves were 25-8 (.758) when they win the turnover margin in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves are 25-17 (.595) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .492

The Timberwolves were 13-4 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers in the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,006 points/47 games) in the first half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors have averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (585 points/47 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.1

The Warriors have made 15.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.2

The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game in the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (1,421/3,726) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Timberwolves are shooting 48% (1,972/4,094) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.37 points per shot (2,849 points/2,076 shots) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.8 steals per game (460 steals/47 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,607 rebounds/47 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have 460 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have blocked 253 shots this season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,651 rebounds/46 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (1,155 blocks/210 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.