Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Nov. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 27, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Warriors (10-10) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves (10-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Sunday, November 27, 2022 at 3:30pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSN & NBCS-BA

The Golden State Warriors visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Minneapolis.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Warriors vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Warriors are 8-12 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 7-12 against the spread.


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Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Golden State Warriors-1.5 -105O 237.5 -110-120
Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5 -115U 237.5 -110+100

Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Sunday‘s game with 55.4% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Warriors and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 100 games (+17.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 away games (+15.59 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 64 games (+12.89 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 39 of their last 65 games (+9.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 away games (+8.88 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 87 games (+18.86 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1H Spread in 53 of their last 87 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+13.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.59 Units / 44% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 8-12 (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 10-10 against the Moneyline (-11.05 Units / -19.86% ROI)
  • 11-9 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI)
  • 9-11 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 7-12 (-6.2 Units / -29.59% ROI).

  • 10-9 against the Moneyline (-7.4 Units / -15.07% ROI)
  • 7-12 against the Over for game total points (-6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI)
  • 12-7 against the Under for game total points (+4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 87 games (-31.12 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 79 games (-20.22 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-20.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 41 games (-19.52 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (-16.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-31.63 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 50 away games (-31.50 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 away games (-28.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 43 of their last 88 games (-28.04 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-27.05 Units / -25% ROI)

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Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Warriors are 26-4 (.867) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744

The Warriors are 51-19 (.729) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562

The Warriors are 8-32 (.200) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .224

The Warriors are 19-15 (.559) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Timberwolves are 6-15 (.286) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .425

The Timberwolves are 28-8 (.778) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .608

The Timberwolves are 8-46 (.148) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .207

The Timberwolves are 18-41 (.305) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. WarriorsSunday‘s Game, Nov. 27

  • Taurean Prince (Timberwolves): Prince is expected to miss 1-2 weeks according to coach Chris Finch.
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is OUT for Sunday’s (Nov. 27) game against Golden State.
  • Andre Iguodala (Warriors): Iguodala has yet to make his season debut and the Warriors haven’t announced a timeline for his return.

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (109 turnovers/13 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors have a TS% of 54% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,478 rebounds/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.1

The Warriors have averaged 7.2 turnovers per game (1,192 turnovers/166 games) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 52.7 points in the paint per game (738 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 117.4 points per game (5,281 points/45 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 109.5

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 13.7 fast break points per game (2,294 points/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.6

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,346 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8

The Warriors have averaged 8.9 steals per game (417 steals/47 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Warriors have 1,388 steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Warriors have averaged 6.9 steals per game (90 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (479 rebounds/14 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,446 steals/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (931 blocks/167 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Timberwolves have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,146 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.