Wizards vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 30

  • The Bucks are -15.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on MMT2 | FDWI

The Washington Wizards visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Wizards vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 4-12 against the spread, while the Bucks are 7-10 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Bucks.

Bucks vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 53.3% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 72 games (+20.23 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 58 games (+14.28 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 80 games (+13.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games at home (+10.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 46 games at home (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 46 games at home (+10.50 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 4-12 (-9.2 Units / -49.2% ROI).

  • 2-15 against the Moneyline (-10.7 Units / -62.94% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 7-10 (-4 Units / -20.2% ROI).

  • 9-9 against the Moneyline (-7.1 Units / -17.19% ROI)
  • 7-11 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI)
  • 11-7 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 74 games (-58.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 85 games (-28.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 80 games (-25.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 71 games (-23.75 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 81 games (-30.60 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 81 games (-27.40 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 45 games (-24.50 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 46 games (-22.15 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.95 Units / -24% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Wizards are 4-48 (.077) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428

The Wizards were winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Wizards are 8-54 (.129) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Wizards were 7-45 (.135) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Bucks are 13-4 (.765) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Bucks are 56-22 (.718) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Bucks are 28-9 (.757) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .685

The Bucks were 22-11 (.667) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards have averaged 8.9 fast break points per game (862 points/97 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 72% from the free throw line (278/385) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (247 rebounds/17 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have allowed 17.4 second chance points per game (835 points/48 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.7

The Wizards have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/15 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Wizards have allowed 16.5 second chance points per game (1,596 points/97 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,923 rebounds/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (634 rebounds/17 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (3,669 rebounds/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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