Wizards vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2023, 5:30 PM
  • The Hawks (40-39) are -10.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (34-45)
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Wednesday, April 5, 2023 at 7:30pm EDT
  • Watch the game on BSSE & NBCS-DC

The Washington Wizards visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Wizards vs Hawks Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 37-39 against the spread, while the Hawks are 35-43 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+11.5 -110O 233.5 -110+425
Atlanta Hawks -11.5 -110U 233.5 -110-600

Hawks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 73.3% confidence.

Hawks vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.2% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wizards and Hawks, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 83 games (+26.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 62 games (+13.49 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 games (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games (+12.83 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 38 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.46 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.88 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 37-39 (-5.9 Units / -6.79% ROI).

  • 34-45 against the Moneyline (-1.8 Units / -1.64% ROI)
  • 38-39 against the Over for game total points (-4.9 Units / -5.64% ROI)
  • 39-38 against the Under for game total points (-2.8 Units / -3.22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 35-43 (-12.3 Units / -14.15% ROI).

  • 40-39 against the Moneyline (-16 Units / -10.73% ROI)
  • 45-34 against the Over for game total points (+7.6 Units / 8.75% ROI)
  • 34-45 against the Under for game total points (-15.5 Units / -17.84% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 74 games (-29.61 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 74 games (-24.82 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 76 games (-22.96 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 90 games (-22.30 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 27 of their last 65 games (-22.24 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 83 games (-34.05 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 62 games (-22.68 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-18.81 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 4Q Spread in 20 of their last 55 games (-17.74 Units / -29% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Wizards are 4-29 (.121) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .311

The Wizards are 24-24 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Wizards are 13-22 (.371) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Wizards are 8-12 (.400) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .469

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Atlanta Hawks are 3-13 (.188) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-worst among NBA teams. The Golden State Warriors made 16.7 three-pointers per game this season — highest among NBA teams.

The Hawks are 60-13 (.822) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .771

The Hawks are 21-12 (.636) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .513

The Hawks are 7-14 (.333) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .391

Injury Report: Hawks vs. WizardsWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 5

  • De’Andre Hunter (Hawks): Hunter did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Chicago.
  • Trae Young (Hawks): Young did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Chicago.
  • Bradley Beal (Wizards): Beal did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Milwaukee.
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Wizards): Porzingis did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Milwaukee.
  • Deni Avdija (Wizards): Avdija is out for Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) and Wednesday’s (Apr. 5) games against Milwaukee and Atlanta.
  • Kyle Kuzma (Wizards): Kuzma did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Milwaukee.
  • Monte Morris (Wizards): Morris did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr. 4) game against Milwaukee.
  • Delon Wright (Wizards): Wright did not play in Tuesday’s (Apr.4) game against Milwaukee.

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 116.6 points per game (8,398 points/72 games) in the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.8

The Wizards have averaged 9.4 fast break points per game (687 points/73 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have averaged 10.3 fast break points per game (329 points/32 games) at home this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Wizards have made 11.3 three-pointers per game this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (890 turnovers/74 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 12.6 turnovers per game (2,810 turnovers/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks are shooting 48% (3,059/6,352) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Hawks have a 24% free throw rate (1,509 free throw attempts/6,352 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 6.6 steals per game (990 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 5.1 blocks per game (758 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Wizards have averaged 6.5 steals per game (474 steals/73 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (538 blocks/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,073 steals/151 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 7.1 steals per game (1,576 steals/223 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.7 steals per game (515 steals/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Hawks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (774 steals/113 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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