- The Heat (7-11) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (10-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 210.5 points
- Wednesday, November 23, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
- Watch the game on BSSUN & NBCS-DC
The Washington Wizards visit FTX Arena to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Wizards vs Heat Over/Under is 210.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 9-8 against the spread, while the Heat are 5-13 against the spread.
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Wizards vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Washington Wizards | +1.5 -110 | O 210.5 -115 | +100 |
Miami Heat | -1.5 -110 | U 210.5 -115 | -120 |
Heat vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 56.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wizards and Heat, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Wizards Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 78 games (+15.66 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 2H Moneyline in 44 of their last 78 games (+14.41 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Heat Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 90 games (+20.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 58 of their last 97 games (+14.37 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.52 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 54 of their last 96 games (+11.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 93 games (+9.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 9-8 (+0.15 Units / 0.8% ROI).
- 10-7 against the Moneyline (+2.85 Units / 11.54% ROI)
- 7-10 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -21.39% ROI)
- 10-7 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 5-13 (-9.3 Units / -46.97% ROI).
- 7-11 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -27.67% ROI)
- 8-9 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI)
- 9-8 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Heat, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 97 games (-28.70 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 97 games (-25.37 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 99 games (-24.15 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-20.55 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 42 of their last 97 games (-18.72 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Wizards, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 82 games (-24.05 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 82 games (-23.14 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-21.75 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 82 games (-19.75 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.45 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Wizards are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
The Wizards are 33-48 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455
The Wizards are 17-31 (.354) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494
The Wizards are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Heat are 45-18 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564
The Heat are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .461
The Heat are 29-3 (.906) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .744
The Heat are 13-8 (.619) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510
Injury Report: Heat vs. Wizards – Wednesday‘s Game, Nov. 23
- Bam Adebayo (Heat): Adebayo is probable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Washington.
- Jimmy Butler (Heat): Butler is out for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Washington.
- Victor Oladipo (Heat): Oladipo has not played this season and is not believed to be closed to returning to action, according to Brian Windhorst of ESPN.
- Max Strus (Heat): Strus is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Washington.
- Tyler Herro (Heat): Herro is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Washington.
- Omer Yurtseven (Heat): The Heat announced that Yurtseven underwent surgery and will be re-evaluated at a later date.
- Dewayne Dedmon (Heat): Dedmon is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Washington.
- Haywood Highsmith (Heat): Highsmith is probable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Washington.
- Duncan Robinson (Heat): Robinson is out for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Washington.
- Gabe Vincent (Heat): Vincent is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Washington.
- Monte Morris (Wizards): Morris is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Miami.
- Delon Wright (Wizards): The Wizards announced that Wright will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
- Rui Hachimura (Wizards): Hachimura is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Miami.
- Bradley Beal (Wizards): Beal is questionable for Wednesday’s (Nov. 23) game against Miami.
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have made 9.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Wizards have made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3
The Wizards are shooting 28% from three (48/172) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Wizards have 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 41.0 points in the paint per game (1,802 points/44 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46.7
The Heat have averaged 45.5 points in the paint per game (592 points/13 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
The Heat are shooting 87% from the free throw line (260/300) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Heat have averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (168 turnovers/13 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have averaged 5.9 steals per game (82 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Wizards have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2
The Wizards have blocked 486 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Wizards have averaged 6.4 steals per game (313 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 2.9 blocks per game (38 blocks/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (298 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (152 blocks/50 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (281 blocks/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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