Wizards vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 27

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on MNMT | KFAA

The Washington Wizards visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Wizards vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 17-25 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 22-23 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards O
Dallas Mavericks U

Mavericks vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 47 of their last 82 games (+8.48 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+7.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 82 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 54 of their last 87 games (+19.28 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 47 games at home (+18.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+14.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 88 games (+12.25 Units / 6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 17-25 (-10.5 Units / -21.69% ROI).

  • 6-38 against the Moneyline (-23.35 Units / -53.07% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Under for game total points (-2.25 Units / -4.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 22-23 (-3.3 Units / -6.52% ROI).

  • 24-22 against the Moneyline (+0.7 Units / 0.66% ROI)
  • 23-23 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 23-23 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-32.15 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 100 games (-29.37 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 46 games at home (-21.77 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 96 games (-21.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games at home (-21.05 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 73 games (-33.10 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 80 games (-31.65 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 72 games (-26.45 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 81 games (-25.59 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 62 games (-21.75 Units / -31% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards are 5-64 (.072) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

The Wizards are 10-71 (.123) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .445

The Wizards are 9-34 (.209) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Mavericks are 11-4 (.733) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-10th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks were 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Mavericks are 34-18 (.654) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Mavericks are undefeated (15-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .903

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (755/2,228) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Wizards have a TS% of 48% in the second half this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks made 14.7 three-pointers per game last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Mavericks have 23.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Mavericks are shooting 48% (1,927/4,039) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 16.6 second chance points per game (2,088 points/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Wizards have allowed 16.9 second chance points per game (743 points/44 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have allowed 55.7 points in the paint per game (7,022 points/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.6

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,668 rebounds/46 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (268 blocks/46 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Mavericks have blocked 268 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams


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