Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Dec. 14

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 14, 2022, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets (16-10) are -9.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (11-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Wednesday, December 14, 2022 at 9:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on ALT & NBCS-DC

The Washington Wizards visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Wizards vs Nuggets Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 11-16 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 11-15 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+11.5 -110O 223.5 -110+425
Denver Nuggets -11.5 -110U 223.5 -110-600

Nuggets vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Wednesday‘s game with 69.6% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wizards and Nuggets, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 80 games (+18.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 72 games (+13.09 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 54 games (+12.56 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 28 away games (+11.18 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.70 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 74 games (+12.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 71 games (+11.51 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 86 games (+11.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 83 games (+9.40 Units / 6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 11-16 (-6.65 Units / -21.56% ROI).

  • 11-17 against the Moneyline (-7.05 Units / -19.18% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 14-14 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-15 (-5.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).

  • 16-10 against the Moneyline (-0.3 Units / -0.45% ROI)
  • 13-13 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 13-13 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 37 of their last 86 games (-36.99 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games at home (-23.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-22.11 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-20.05 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 82 games (-27.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 73 games (-24.45 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 82 games (-21.74 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 81 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 79 games (-20.85 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Wizards are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Wizards are 33-48 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Wizards are 17-31 (.354) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Wizards are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Nuggets are 51-19 (.729) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets are 28-15 (.651) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 17-6 (.739) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .510

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. WizardsWednesday‘s Game, Dec. 14

  • Michael Porter Jr. (Nuggets): Nuggets coach Michael Malone said that Porter doesn’t have a timeframe for a return.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): The Nuggets announced that Gillespie is out indefinitely after undergoing surgery to repair a lower left leg fracture.
  • Bradley Beal (Wizards): Beal is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Denver.
  • Delon Wright (Wizards): The Wizards announced that Wright will be re-evaluated in three weeks.
  • Rui Hachimura (Wizards): Hachimura is considered week-to-week, according to Ava Wallace of The Washington Post.
  • Monte Morris (Wizards): Morris is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Denver.
  • Monte Morris (Wizards): Morris is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Denver.
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Wizards): Porzingis is questionable for Wednesday’s (Dec. 14) game against Denver.

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have made 9.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards have made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards are shooting 28% from three (48/172) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,136/4,216) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,791/7,476) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 44% from three (61/138) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (171/404) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 5.9 steals per game (82 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Wizards have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Wizards have blocked 486 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Wizards have averaged 6.4 steals per game (313 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (158 blocks/45 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (348 blocks/86 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (196 blocks/50 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.6

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (329 blocks/81 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.