- The Pelicans (26-23) are -4.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (22-26)
- Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
- Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
- Watch the game on BSNO & NBCS-DC
The Washington Wizards visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans.
The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Wizards vs Pelicans Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 23-24 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 24-25 against the spread.
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Wizards vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Washington Wizards | +4.5 -105 | O 230.5 -105 | +165 |
New Orleans Pelicans | -4.5 -115 | U 230.5 -105 | -200 |
Pelicans vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Saturday‘s game with 60.1% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.
These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wizards and Pelicans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.
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Wizards Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 55 games (+21.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+10.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Pelicans Team Prop Bets for Tonight, Ranked by Units Won:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 41 games (+15.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 84 games (+14.03 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 23-24 (-3.4 Units / -6.45% ROI).
- 22-26 against the Moneyline (+0.35 Units / 0.59% ROI)
- 23-23 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.36% ROI)
- 23-23 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.36% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 24-25 (-3.5 Units / -6.5% ROI).
- 26-23 against the Moneyline (-3.7 Units / -4.18% ROI)
- 27-22 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 5.19% ROI)
- 22-27 against the Under for game total points (-7.7 Units / -14.29% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Pelicans, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 92 games (-25.44 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 43 games (-20.85 Units / -43% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 92 games (-19.30 Units / -19% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 92 games (-19.25 Units / -19% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 15 of their last 40 games (-18.20 Units / -34% ROI)
Negative Value Trends Against the Spread for the Wizards, Ranked by Units Lost:
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 69 games (-27.45 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 73 games (-17.35 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 37 games (-16.00 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 65 games (-15.72 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 37 games (-14.40 Units / -35% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Washington Wizards vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Washington Wizards Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Washington Wizards Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Washington Wizards are 4-25 (.138) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — worst among NBA teams. The Dallas Mavericks made 13.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — fifth-highest among NBA teams.
The Wizards are 4-25 (.138) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .313
The Wizards are 8-52 (.133) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .218
The Wizards are 8-37 (.178) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .271
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards
The Pelicans are 33-90 (.268) when allowing 110 or more points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .320
The Pelicans are 10-34 (.227) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .314
The Pelicans are 7-13 (.350) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .473
The Pelicans are 24-42 (.364) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .422
Injury Report: Pelicans vs. Wizards – Saturday‘s Game, Jan. 28
- E.J. Liddell (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that E.J. Liddell tore his right ACL and will miss most of the season.
- Zion Williamson (Pelicans): The Pelicans announced that Williamson will be re-evaluated again in two weeks.
- Dyson Daniels (Pelicans): Daniels is out for Saturday’s (Jan.28) game against Washington.
- Monte Morris (Wizards): Morris did not play in Wednesday’s (Jan. 25) game against Houston.
- Kristaps Porzingis (Wizards): Porzingis is doubtful for Saturday’s (Jan.28) game against New Orleans.
Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards are shooting 32% from three (232/732) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Wizards have averaged 9.6 fast break points per game (605 points/63 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Wizards have made 10.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.4
The Wizards have averaged 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (437 rebounds/46 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (2,552 free throw attempts/8,947 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%
The Pelicans have averaged 52.1 points in the paint per game (10,472 points/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.0
The Pelicans have 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.8
The Pelicans shot 35% from three (762/2,190) in the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends
The Wizards have averaged 6.5 steals per game (830 steals/128 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Wizards have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,358 steals/200 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Wizards have blocked 245 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams
The Wizards have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,594 rebounds/46 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have 409 steals this season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Pelicans have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (202 blocks/47 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pelicans have averaged 8.7 steals per game (409 steals/47 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Pelicans have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,634 steals/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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