Wizards vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 8

• The – are favorites vs. the –
• Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Washington Wizards visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 pm in New Orleans, LA.

The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Wizards vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 26-36 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 36-29 against the spread.

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Wizards vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Pelicans vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Sunday‘s game with 79.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.

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Wizards Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (+13.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.70 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 40 away games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 away games (+6.00 Units / 29% ROI)

Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+9.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.30 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Washington Wizards Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 26-36 (-13.55 Units / -19.88% ROI).

• 16-46 against the Moneyline (-2.05 Units / -3.2% ROI)
• 33-29 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 1.61% ROI)
• 29-33 against the Under for game total points (-7.3 Units / -10.7% ROI)

New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 36-29 (+4.1 Units / 5.73% ROI).

• 20-45 against the Moneyline (-15.45 Units / -20.4% ROI)
• 34-31 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.14% ROI)
• 31-34 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -8.95% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:

• The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 4Q Spread in 17 of their last 50 games (-21.60 Units / -37% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 40 games at home (-16.20 Units / -35% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 35 games (-16.00 Units / -41% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-13.90 Units / -30% ROI)
• The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 40 games at home (-11.25 Units / -24% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Wizards:

• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 23 away games (-14.15 Units / -62% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 away games (-12.85 Units / -38% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-12.80 Units / -22% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 40 away games (-12.45 Units / -28% ROI)
• The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 40 away games (-11.80 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Washington Wizards
• Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
• Player Injuries for Washington Wizards vs. New Orleans Pelicans
• Washington Wizards Offensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
• Washington Wizards Defensive stats
• New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Wizards were 6-23 (.207) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Wizards are 2-22 (.083) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .387

The Wizards were 7-45 (.135) when allowing 15 or more second chance points in the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Wizards were winless (0-10) when forcing fewer than 5 steals in the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Pelicans are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .411

The Pelicans were 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Pelicans are 1-18 (.053) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Pelicans are 8-26 (.235) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road in the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards shot 33% from three (513/1,572) at home last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards averaged 1.22 points per shot (4,383 points/3,604 shots) in the second half last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Wizards averaged 20% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (753 free throw attempts/3,695 field goal attempts) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 61.4 points in the paint per game (1,964 points/32 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Pelicans have averaged 29.9 points in the paint per game (1,944 points/65 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.2

The Pelicans are shooting 33% from three (335/1,023) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have 25.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home in the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards have allowed 16.6 second chance points per game (3,745 points/226 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Wizards have allowed 19.3 offensive rebounds per game (2,216 rebounds/115 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.0

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) in the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,746 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (7,887 rebounds/229 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pelicans have allowed 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (659 rebounds/65 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.9

The Pelicans averaged 5.2 blocks per game (429 blocks/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

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