Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds, Lines, Team Props – NBA, Jan. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 06, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Thunder (16-22) are -1.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (17-22)
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Friday, January 6, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSOK & NBCS-DC

The Washington Wizards visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Wizards vs Thunder Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 18-20 against the spread, while the Thunder are 22-16 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+1.5 -115O 231.5 -110-105
Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 -105U 231.5 -110-115

Thunder vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Wizards will win Friday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wizards and Thunder, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 46 games (+20.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.62 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+9.45 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 64 games (+33.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 72 games (+20.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+13.44 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 18-20 (-4.05 Units / -9.43% ROI).

  • 17-22 against the Moneyline (-2.25 Units / -4.63% ROI)
  • 18-20 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -9.32% ROI)
  • 20-18 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 22-16 (+4.45 Units / 10.66% ROI).

  • 16-22 against the Moneyline (+8.9 Units / 20.82% ROI)
  • 21-16 against the Over for game total points (+3.4 Units / 8.13% ROI)
  • 16-21 against the Under for game total points (-7.1 Units / -16.99% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 78 games (-35.40 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 81 games (-21.64 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 79 games (-21.24 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-19.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 60 games (-26.05 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the Spread in 32 of their last 83 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-18.92 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 64 games (-17.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 28 games (-14.95 Units / -48% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Wizards are 27-38 (.415) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Wizards are 33-48 (.407) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Wizards are 17-31 (.354) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .494

The Wizards are 11-22 (.333) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 11-47 (.190) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-worst among NBA teams. The Boston Celtics have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (4,280 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — seventh-highest among NBA teams.

The Thunder are winless (0-31) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .141

The Thunder are 17-34 (.333) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Thunder are 6-15 (.286) when allowing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .480

Injury Report: Thunder vs. WizardsFriday‘s Game, Jan. 6

  • Jaylin Williams (Thunder): The Thunder have listed Williams as OUT for Friday’s game (Jan. 6) against the Wizards.
  • Chet Holmgren (Thunder): Holmgren will miss the 2022-23 season with Lisfranc injury to his right foot, according to Adrian Wojnarowsk of ESPN.
  • Ousmane Dieng (Thunder): Dieng suffered a fracture in his right wrist during Wednesday’s (Dec 14) Oklahoma City Blue game and will be re-evaluated in six weeks, Brandon Rahbar of DailyThunder.com reports.
  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Thunder): Thunder announced Pokusevski suffered a non-displaced tibial plateau fracture in his left leg and will be reevaluated in 6-8 weeks.
  • Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (Thunder): Robinson-Earl hasn’t played since Dec. 12 against Dallas. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Bradley Beal (Wizards): The Wizards announced that Beal has a low-grade strain and will be re-evaluated in one week.
  • Taj Gibson (Wizards): The Wizards have listed Gibson as QUESTIONABLE for Friday’s game (Jan. 6) against the Thunder.

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have made 9.9 three-pointers per game on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards have made 10.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Wizards are shooting 28% from three (48/172) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Wizards have 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.4

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder are shooting 33% from three (2,000/6,055) since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,637 points/7,246 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2020-21 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Thunder have an eFG% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Thunder have averaged 1.17 points per shot (8,646 points/7,398 shots) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.25

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 5.9 steals per game (82 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Wizards have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (500 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.2

The Wizards have blocked 486 shots since the start of the 2021-22 season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Wizards have averaged 6.4 steals per game (313 steals/49 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (119 steals/13 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Thunder have averaged 7.8 steals per game (742 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder have blocked 81 shots this season — 4th most among NBA teams

The Thunder have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (81 blocks/13 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.