Wizards vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 16

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 16, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves (31-29) are -3.5 favorites vs. the Wizards (27-30)
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Thursday, February 16, 2023 at 8:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSN & NBCS-DC+

The Washington Wizards visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Wizards vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 28-28 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 29-31 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards+2.5 -105O 235.5 -105+125
Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 -115U 235.5 -105-155

Timberwolves vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 55.0% confidence.

Timberwolves vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.9% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Wizards and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 64 games (+26.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 54 of their last 84 games (+20.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 56 of their last 88 games (+19.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games (+17.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 84 games (+15.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.26 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 28-28 (-2.8 Units / -4.47% ROI).

  • 27-30 against the Moneyline (+1.15 Units / 1.58% ROI)
  • 27-28 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -6.06% ROI)
  • 28-27 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -2.71% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 29-31 (-5.1 Units / -7.72% ROI).

  • 31-29 against the Moneyline (-6.7 Units / -6.28% ROI)
  • 30-30 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 30-30 against the Under for game total points (-3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 26 of their last 71 games (-33.51 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 88 games (-32.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 74 games (-23.73 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.65 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 83 games (-17.38 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 78 games (-33.00 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-21.15 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-19.54 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.04 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 46 games (-15.40 Units / -30% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Washington Wizards are 6-18 (.250) when losing the rebounding margin this season — tied for eighth-worst among NBA teams. The Charlotte Hornets have averaged 45.1 rebounds per game (2,478 rebounds/55 games) this season — tied for fifth-highest among NBA teams.

The Wizards are 4-26 (.133) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .309

The Wizards are 15-55 (.214) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2020-21 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .275

The Wizards are 28-47 (.373) when grabbing fewer than 8 offense rebounds since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Timberwolves are 35-25 (.583) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506

The Timberwolves are 44-49 (.473) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Timberwolves are 10-56 (.152) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2020-21 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .220

The Timberwolves are 8-13 (.381) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .524

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. WizardsThursday‘s Game, Feb. 16

  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is questionable for Thursday’s (Feb.16) game against Washington.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is questionable for Thursday’s (Feb.16) game against Washington.
  • Washington Wizards – No Injuries Reported

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards shot 35% from three (733/2,088) in the 2020-21 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Wizards have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (1,433 points/135 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

The Wizards have made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Wizards have averaged 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (498 rebounds/53 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 10.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves are shooting 69% from the free throw line (118/171) in the last two weeks — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Timberwolves are shooting 49% (2,387/4,858) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Timberwolves shot 35% from three (944/2,706) in the 2020-21 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have a TS% of 51% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,837 rebounds/53 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Wizards have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (7,192 rebounds/207 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.9

The Wizards have averaged 6.5 steals per game (420 steals/65 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Wizards have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,412 steals/207 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 32.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,809 rebounds/56 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.6 steals per game (1,814 steals/210 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (759 blocks/138 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (299 blocks/56 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.