Wizards vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 27

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  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Washington Wizards visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 pm in San Francisco, CA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Wizards vs Warriors Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Wizards are 31-41 against the spread, while the Warriors are 32-41 against the spread.


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Wizards vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Washington Wizards O
Golden State Warriors U

Warriors vs Wizards Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 68.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Wizards and Warriors.

Warriors vs Wizards Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Wizards will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 66.7% confidence.


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  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 2H Moneyline in 13 of their last 35 away games (+7.94 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 35 away games (+7.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 23 games at home (+14.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.03 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 31-41 (-14.05 Units / -17.76% ROI).

  • 17-55 against the Moneyline (-9.75 Units / -13.18% ROI)
  • 41-31 against the Over for game total points (+6.9 Units / 8.71% ROI)
  • 31-41 against the Under for game total points (-14.1 Units / -17.8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 32-41 (-13.1 Units / -16.31% ROI).

  • 35-38 against the Moneyline (-17.4 Units / -10.82% ROI)
  • 44-29 against the Over for game total points (+12.1 Units / 15.07% ROI)
  • 29-44 against the Under for game total points (-19.4 Units / -24.16% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-23.85 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 games at home (-22.45 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 45 games (-19.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games at home (-19.00 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 35 games (-18.90 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.25 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 22 games (-16.25 Units / -71% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 games (-15.00 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 25 away games (-14.40 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 22 games (-14.20 Units / -62% ROI)

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Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Wizards are 2-24 (.077) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .389

The Wizards are 21-69 (.233) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Wizards are 14-49 (.222) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Wizards are 23-122 (.159) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Warriors are 7-19 (.269) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .441

The Warriors are 2-14 (.125) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .217

The Warriors are 68-38 (.642) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577

The Warriors are 68-38 (.642) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Wizards have averaged 15.1 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards are shooting 34% from three (1,499/4,380) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Wizards have averaged 112.8 points per game (8,121 points/72 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.5

The Wizards have averaged 1.22 points per shot (12,983 points/10,672 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Wizards have averaged 47.0 points in the paint per game (3,386 points/72 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 17.3 turnovers per game (658 turnovers/38 games) on the road this season — tied for highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.6

The Warriors have averaged 15.9 turnovers per game (1,158 turnovers/73 games) this season — tied for 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

The Warriors have 21.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.6

The Warriors have made 15.9 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.3

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards have allowed 20.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,452 rebounds/72 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 17.9

The Wizards have averaged 7.9 steals per game (566 steals/72 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Wizards have allowed 17.2 second chance points per game (2,044 points/119 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.2

The Wizards have allowed 16.7 second chance points per game (3,932 points/236 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 9.9 steals per game (725 steals/73 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Warriors have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (316 blocks/73 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Warriors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (1,084 blocks/237 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Warriors have averaged 10.3 steals per game (814 steals/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4


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