Abilene Christian vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 26

Tarleton State head coach Billy Gillespie
(AP Photo)
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  • Tarleton State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Abilene Christian
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Abilene Christian / Tarleton State TV channel: ESPN+

The Abilene Christian Wildcats visit EECU Center to take on the Tarleton State Texans on Jan. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Stephenville, TX.

Tarleton State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Abilene Christian vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Abilene Christian vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Abilene Christian vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tarleton State will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Abilene Christian vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Abilene Christian has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Abilene Christian has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 27 games (+4.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Abilene Christian have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 27 games (+1.90 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Abilene Christian has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Abilene Christian has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.70 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Abilene Christian Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Abilene Christian has a 7-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.8 Units / -10.26% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -8.11% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.3 Units / 18.64% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -5.35% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Abilene Christian Offensive Stats & Trends:

Abilene Christian made 4.6 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Abilene Christian had a TS% of 45% last season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Abilene Christian had 22.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 33rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Abilene Christian had an eFG% of 49% last season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 4.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Tarleton State has made 5.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Tarleton State made 5.5 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Tarleton State averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (525 turnovers/32 games) last season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Abilene Christian Defensive Stats & Trends:

Abilene Christian forced 16.4 turnovers per game (525 turnovers/32 games) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Abilene Christian allowed opponents to shoot 46% (828/1,818) last season — tied for 35th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Abilene Christian allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Abilene Christian allowed an average of 1.29 points per shot (2,344 points/1,818 shots) last season — tied for 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has allowed an average of 1.72 points per shot (362 points/210 shots) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.34

Tarleton State has forced 18.2 turnovers per game (363 turnovers/20 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Tarleton State has averaged 11.1 steals per game (222 steals/20 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Tarleton State has forced 15.6 turnovers per game (1,307 turnovers/84 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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