Air Force vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2023, 12:12 PM
  • Nevada (17-6) are -11.5 point favorites vs Air Force (12-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Air Force Falcons (12-11) visit Lawlor Events Center to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (17-6) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Reno.

Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at Nevada -11.5 (-105).

The Air Force vs. Nevada Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+11.5 -115O 133.5 -115+450
Nevada -11.5 -105U 133.5 -105-650

Air Force vs Nevada Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Nevada will win this game with 73.1% confidence.

Air Force vs Nevada Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and Nevada, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Nevada vs Air Force and all games with BetMGM


  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.25 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+12.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Nevada have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 45 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has gone 15-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.59% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI

Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Nevada has gone 14-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 16-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 20.81% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Over for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Under for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has attempted 62 threes in possessions with at least six passes this season in conference play — most among Mountain West Teams

Air Force is shooting 47% from inside the arc (97/208) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

Air Force has attempted 106 shots on right wing attemps this season in conference play — most among Mountain West Teams

Air Force has averaged 7.1 turnovers per game (71 turnovers/10 games) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.7

Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 10.6 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Nevada is shooting 21% (4/19) on right corner attempts this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 41%

Nevada has made 1.7 three-pointers per game in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 2.4

Nevada is shooting 21% from three (4/19) on right corner attempts this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 41%

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,127 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.5

Air Force has allowed 5.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (3,425 points/2,681 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Air Force has averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (529 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7

Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:

Nevada has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (607 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (171/512) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Nevada has forced 13.0 turnovers per game (300 turnovers/23 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6

Nevada has allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.