Air Force vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 24, 2023, 11:34 AM
  • UNLV (16-11) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Air Force (14-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The Air Force Falcons (14-15) visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (16-11) on Feb. 24. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Paradise.

UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Air Force vs. UNLV Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+9.5 -110O 137.5 -115+340
UNLV -9.5 -110U 137.5 -105-450

Air Force vs UNLV Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 69.7% confidence.

Air Force vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UNLV will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and UNLV, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+6.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+17.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 38 games (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has gone 17-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.93% ROI).

  • 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.54% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has gone against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 7.5 turnovers per game (112 turnovers/15 games) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 3.0

Air Force has averaged 6.4 turnovers per game (103 turnovers/16 games) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.0

Air Force has made 9.1 three-pointers per game in half court possessions this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Air Force has averaged 42.4 points per game (678 points/16 games) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 54.0

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 1.4 turnovers per game (21 turnovers/15 games) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 3.0

UNLV has averaged 1.05 points per shot (342 points/325 shots) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.16

UNLV is shooting 53% (171/325) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 58%

UNLV has a TS% of 47% in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,127 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.5

Air Force has allowed 5.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Air Force has averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (529 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.7

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (3,425 points/2,681 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 18.7 turnovers per game (412 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6

UNLV has averaged 9.6 steals per game (212 steals/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.1

UNLV has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (524/1,231) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

UNLV has allowed 68.3 points per game (1,502 points/22 games) this season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.