Air Force vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 12

A coach dressed in a black tracksuit, signalling to players
(AP Photo)
  • UNLV is a -12.5 point favorite vs Air Force
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Air Force / UNLV TV channel: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Las Vegas, NV, NV, USA.

UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Air Force vs. UNLV Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+12.5 -105O 128.5 -115+675
UNLV -12.5 -115U 128.5 -105-1100

Air Force vs UNLV Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Air Force vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.33 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+8.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+6.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 9-21 record against the spread this college basketball season (-14.2 Units / -42.9% ROI).

  • 3-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.6 Units / -79.71% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.55 Units / -7.48% ROI).

  • 18-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.8 Units / -19.94% ROI
  • 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 63.8 points per game (3,826 points/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 73.4

Air Force has averaged 62.0 points per game (1,923 points/31 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.8

Air Force has averaged 13.6 turnovers per game (423 turnovers/31 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Air Force has averaged 7.6 offensive rebounds per game (237 rebounds/31 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (285 rebounds/31 games) this season — 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 10.0

UNLV had an eFG% of 52% last season — 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

UNLV averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (341 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.2

UNLV averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,278 points/1,809 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (4,371 points/3,227 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Air Force allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (2,082 points/1,520 shots) last season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Air Force has averaged 21.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,308 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 24.9

Air Force averaged 21.2 defensive rebounds per game (614 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.0

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (740/1,740) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%

UNLV forced 12.6 turnovers per game (391 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9

UNLV allowed 7.1 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

UNLV allowed 69.0 points per game (2,139 points/31 games) last season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 70.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.