- UNLV (18-12) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Air Force (14-17)
- Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
- Watch the 1st Round of the Mountain West Championship on MW Network
The Air Force Falcons (14-17) visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (18-12) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Paradise.
UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).
The Air Force vs. UNLV Over/Under is 132.5 total points.
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Air Force vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Air Force | +5.5 -105 | O 132.5 -110 | +210 |
| UNLV | -5.5 -115 | U 132.5 -110 | -275 |
Air Force vs UNLV Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UNLV will win this game with 64.5% confidence.
Air Force vs UNLV Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Air Force and UNLV, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Air Force Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+6.55 Units / 98% ROI)
- Air Force have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
UNLV Basketball Best Bets Today:
- UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games (+7.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- UNLV have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Air Force has gone 18-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.87% ROI).
- 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -3.03% ROI
- 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
- 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI
UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UNLV has gone 15-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.35 Units / -1.1% ROI).
- 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -5.7% ROI
- 19-10 when betting the Over for +8 Units / 25.08% ROI
- 10-19 when betting the Under for -10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI
Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:
Air Force has averaged 16.7 points per game (301 points/18 games) in possessions with two to five passes this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 21.7
Air Force has averaged 19.9 points per game (339 points/17 games) in possessions with at least six passes this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Air Force has averaged 7.4 turnovers per game (125 turnovers/17 games) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 3.1
Air Force has averaged 6.7 turnovers per game (120 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 8.9
UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:
UNLV has a TS% of 46% in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%
UNLV is shooting 32% from inside the arc (26/82) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 45%
UNLV has averaged 1.05 points per shot (422 points/401 shots) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.16
UNLV is shooting 31% (61/197) on possessions with a ball reversal this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 41%
Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:
Air Force has averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,127 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.5
Air Force has allowed 5.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Air Force has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (264/879) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%
Air Force has allowed 5.0 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3
UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:
UNLV has forced 18.7 turnovers per game (412 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.6
UNLV has averaged 9.6 steals per game (212 steals/22 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.1
UNLV has forced 14.4 turnovers per game (779 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.5
UNLV has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (201/570) this season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%
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