Akron vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Akron is a -4.5 point favorite vs Troy
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Akron / Troy TV channel: ESPN2

The Akron Zips visit Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00 pm in Troy, AL.

Akron is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Akron vs. Troy Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Akron vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron-4.5 -105O 156.5 -110-185
Troy +4.5 -115U 156.5 -110+150

Akron vs Troy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Akron will win this college basketball game with 60.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Akron vs Troy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Akron will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Akron has hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games (+19.50 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.40 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)

Akron Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Akron has a 12-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.05 Units / 8.86% ROI).

  • 17-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.8 Units / 3.42% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 13-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.15 Units / 13.02% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -8.26% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting the Over for +2.1 Units / 8.68% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting the Under for -4.2 Units / -17.36% ROI

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends:

Akron has an eFG% of 60% this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Akron has a 26% free throw rate (938 free throw attempts/3,620 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 34%

Akron has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (432 assists/ 246 TOs) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Akron has a 25% free throw rate (361 free throw attempts/1,440 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 35%

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (377 assists/ 267 TOs) this season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Troy has averaged 82.4 points per game (1,896 points/23 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Troy had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.8

Troy averaged 13.3 turnovers per game (400 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Akron Defensive Stats & Trends:

Akron has allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,176 points/3,441 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.28

Akron has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (570/1,357) this season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Akron has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (6,419 points/5,370 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.26

Akron allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (217/719) last season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy has averaged 9.7 steals per game (833 steals/86 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Troy forced 15.2 turnovers per game (455 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.