Alabama vs Auburn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 11, 2023, 10:54 AM
  • Alabama (21-3) are Alabama -2.5 point favorites vs Auburn (17-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Alabama Crimson Tide (21-3) visit Neville Arena to take on the Auburn Tigers (17-7) on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Auburn.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Alabama vs. Auburn Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama-2.5 -110O 155.5 -110-145
Auburn +2.5 -110U 155.5 -110+120

Alabama vs Auburn Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 55.2% confidence.

Alabama vs Auburn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Auburn, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 49 games (+15.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has gone 15-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.1 Units / 19.32% ROI).

  • 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.4 Units / 17.26% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.33% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has gone 12-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 4.38% ROI
  • 15-9 when betting the Over for +5.05 Units / 19.09% ROI
  • 9-15 when betting the Under for -7.5 Units / -28.46% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Alabama has 702 defensive rebounds this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 111 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 317 threes in the second half this season — most among SEC Teams

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn is shooting 30% from three (136/455) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Auburn is shooting 31% from three (410/1,319) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Auburn is shooting 29% from three (178/605) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Auburn has averaged 1.25 points per shot (1,614 points/1,287 shots) this season — tied for 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alabama has averaged 6.6 steals per game (223 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has averaged 8.2 steals per game (462 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Auburn has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,514 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Auburn has averaged 7.8 steals per game (164 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Auburn has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.