Alabama vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:42 AM
  • Alabama (19-3) are -11.5 point favorites vs LSU (12-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Alabama Crimson Tide (19-3) visit Pete Maravich Assembly Center to take on the LSU Tigers (12-10) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Baton Rouge.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Alabama vs. LSU Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama-11.5 -110O 148.5 -110-650
LSU +11.5 -110U 148.5 -110+450

Alabama vs LSU Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 71.9% confidence.

Alabama vs LSU Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and LSU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 49 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+6.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+6.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has gone 14-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 15-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.4 Units / 17.27% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -8.68% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

LSU has gone 6-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-10.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.66% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.15 Units / -12.99% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 4.55% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has 702 defensive rebounds this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Alabama has made 111 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has averaged 79.0 points per game (1,659 points/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 68.7

LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has averaged 7.4 turnovers per game (415 turnovers/56 games) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.2

LSU is shooting 40% (505/1,265) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (706 assists/ 780 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

LSU has a TS% of 46% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 6.6 steals per game (223 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0

LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:

LSU has averaged 10.1 steals per game (344 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (408/1,382) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

LSU has averaged 9.5 steals per game (534 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,266/3,112) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.