Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 13

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  • Alabama is a -4.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
  • Total (Over/Under): 174.5 points
  • Alabama / Mississippi State TV channel: SECN

The Alabama Crimson Tide visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Jan. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Starkville, MS.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Alabama vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 174.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Alabama vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts will win this college basketball game with confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts will cover the spread with confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+14.10 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 7-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.03% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 6-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.9 Units / -28.08% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 0.49% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 28.4 defensive rebounds per game (454 rebounds/16 games) this season — 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi State has allowed 8.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (124/406) this season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,280 points/1,014 shots) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.39

Mississippi State has averaged 1.13 points per shot (586 points/519 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.32

Mississippi State is shooting 70% from the free throw line (440/631) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 28.4 defensive rebounds per game (454 rebounds/16 games) this season — 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi State has allowed 8.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (124/406) this season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,280 points/1,014 shots) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.39

Mississippi State has averaged 1.13 points per shot (586 points/519 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.32

Mississippi State is shooting 70% from the free throw line (440/631) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.