- Grambling State (21-8) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Alabama State (8-22)
- Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
The Alabama State Hornets (8-22) visit Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center to take on the Grambling State Tigers (21-8) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Grambling.
Grambling State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Alabama State vs. Grambling State Over/Under is 129.5 total points.
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Alabama State vs. Grambling State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Alabama State | +11.5 -110 | O 129.5 -105 | +475 |
Grambling State | -11.5 -110 | U 129.5 -115 | -650 |
Alabama State vs Grambling State Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Grambling State will win this game with 72.6% confidence.
Alabama State vs Grambling State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Grambling State will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama State and Grambling State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Alabama State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games (+13.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Alabama State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Alabama State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 21 away games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
Grambling State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Grambling has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+22.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Grambling has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Grambling has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Grambling have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Alabama State has gone 14-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.45 Units / -7.7% ROI).
- 7-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -35.04% ROI
- 8-20 when betting the Over for -13.95 Units / -43.8% ROI
- 20-8 when betting the Under for +11.2 Units / 35.05% ROI
Grambling State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Grambling State has gone 16-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 13.18% ROI).
- 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.55 Units / 29.68% ROI
- 9-18 when betting the Over for -10.75 Units / -36.26% ROI
- 18-9 when betting the Under for +8.1 Units / 27.23% ROI
Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama State has an eFG% of 42% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Alabama State is shooting 37% (492/1,328) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Alabama State has a TS% of 41% this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Alabama State has averaged 1.07 points per shot (1,416 points/1,328 shots) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Grambling State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Grambling State has a 40% free throw rate (455 free throw attempts/1,148 field goal attempts) this season — highest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Grambling State is shooting 64% from the free throw line (290/455) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
Grambling State has 21.7 free throw attempts per game this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 19.0
Grambling State has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,448 points/1,148 shots) this season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 1.14
Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (122 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Alabama State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/22 games) this season — 5th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Alabama State has averaged 22.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,185 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Alabama State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (344 steals/52 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Grambling State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Grambling State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (364 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Grambling State has averaged 7.3 steals per game (153 steals/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Grambling State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (504 rebounds/21 games) this season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Grambling State has averaged 24.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,271 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
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