Alabama State vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 29

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  • Mississippi State is a -19.5 point favorite vs Alabama State
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Alabama State / Mississippi State TV channel: SEC+

The Alabama State Hornets visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Dec. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Starkville, MS.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-102).

The Alabama State vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama State+19.5 -118O 153.5 -1101200
Mississippi State -19.5 -102U 153.5 -110-3000

Alabama State vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts will win this college basketball game with confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Alabama State vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts will cover the spread with confidence for today’s game.


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  • Alabama State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+13.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Alabama State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 22 away games (+2.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alabama State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 22 away games (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)

Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama State has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 66.36% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 3-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.8 Units / -51.91% ROI).

  • 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.16% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State had an eFG% of 42% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State averaged 1.04 points per shot (2,053 points/1,970 shots) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State shot 37% (723/1,970) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State shot 28% from three (211/751) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (664/1,602) last season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (346/729) this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama State forced 13.7 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/30 games) last season — 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Alabama State has allowed an average of 1.36 points per shot (994 points/729 shots) this season — tied for 16th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State had an eFG% of 42% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State averaged 1.04 points per shot (2,053 points/1,970 shots) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State shot 37% (723/1,970) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State shot 28% from three (211/751) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (664/1,602) last season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (346/729) this season — tied for 23rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama State forced 13.7 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/30 games) last season — 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Alabama State has allowed an average of 1.36 points per shot (994 points/729 shots) this season — tied for 16th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.